Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Blockx v Alexander Zverev

Início: 2026-05-10 11:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Blockx (Local)

Previsão 21.74%4.60odd justa
EV +3.29%
Vantagem +0.692%
Kelly +0.876%
Crescimento +0.029%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.03%21.82%21.90%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.384.354.7525.00%22.85%22.99%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Previsão 78.26%1.28odd justa
EV -2.18%
Vantagem -1.74%
Kelly -8.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.19%78.18%78.10%79.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.171.211.211.2585.47%82.77%82.64%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexander Blockx (Local): 21.74%; Alexander Zverev (Visitante): 78.26%. Para Alexander Blockx (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.60. 14 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.29%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.876%G +0.029%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 10:45
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.876%G +0.029%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:39
Pinnacle🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 21.02%EV +1.33%E +0.285%K +0.363%G +0.005%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.98%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 10:49
FanDuel🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +1.11%E +0.239%K +0.305%G +0.003%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 10:39
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:55
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:55
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
1xBet🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -1.28%E -0.282%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:49
DraftKings🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV -1.71%E -0.379%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 10:54
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 10:44
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:09
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:25
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:09
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:24
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
ReBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 10:55
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 10:24
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 10:09
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 10:09
Bally Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:39
Codere (IT)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:39
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:09
Fliff🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 10:49
GTbets🎯4.29I 23.31%NM 22.00%EV -6.72%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.00%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 10:54
LowVig.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -7.15%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 09:54
BetOnline.ag🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -7.15%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 10:09
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 01:25
BetUS🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 10:24
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 10:40
BetMGM🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 10:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 10:50
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 10:24
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 10:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.85%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.85%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 10:25
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.85%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 10:25
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.18%E -1.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 06:20
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 09:54
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 10:39
Everygame🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 10:49
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 10:22
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-05-10 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-05-10 10:49
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-05-10 10:54
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-10 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-10 10:50
Novig4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%4.1%2026-05-10 10:40