La escuela de los momios

Alexander Blockx v Alexander Zverev

Inicio: 2026-05-10 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alexander Blockx (Local)

Predicción 21.74%4.60momio equitativo
EV +3.29%
Ventaja +0.692%
Kelly +0.876%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.03%21.82%21.90%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.384.354.7525.00%22.85%22.99%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Predicción 78.26%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -8.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.19%78.18%78.10%79.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.211.2585.47%82.77%82.64%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.876%G +0.029%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 10:45
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.876%G +0.029%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:39
Pinnacle4.66I 21.46%NM 21.02%EV +1.33%E +0.285%K +0.363%G +0.005%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.98%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 10:49
FanDuel4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +1.11%E +0.239%K +0.305%G +0.003%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 10:40
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 10:39
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:55
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:55
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -1.28%E -0.282%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:49
DraftKings4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV -1.71%E -0.379%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 10:54
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 10:44
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:09
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:25
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:24
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:09
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:24
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 10:55
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 10:24
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 10:09
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 10:09
Bally Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:50
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 10:54
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 10:55
Unibet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:39
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:40
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:39
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:09
Fliff4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 10:49
GTbets4.29I 23.31%NM 22.00%EV -6.72%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.00%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 10:54
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -7.15%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 09:54
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -7.15%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:09
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 10:09
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 01:25
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 10:24
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 10:40
BetMGM4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 10:24
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 10:50
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 10:24
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 10:24
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.85%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.85%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 10:25
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.85%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 10:25
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.18%E -1.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 06:20
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 09:54
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 10:39
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 10:49
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 10:22
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-05-10 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-05-10 10:49
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-05-10 10:54
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-10 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-10 10:50
Novig4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%4.1%2026-05-10 10:40