L’École des cotes

Alexander Blockx v Alexander Zverev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexander Blockx (Local)

Prévision 21.74%4.60cote équitable
EV +3.29%
Avantage +0.692%
Kelly +0.876%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.03%21.82%21.90%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.384.354.7525.00%22.85%22.99%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)

Prévision 78.26%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -8.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.19%78.18%78.10%79.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.211.211.2585.47%82.77%82.64%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coolbet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.876%G +0.029%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 10:45
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +3.29%E +0.692%K +0.876%G +0.029%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:39
Pinnacle4.66I 21.46%NM 21.02%EV +1.33%E +0.285%K +0.363%G +0.005%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.98%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 10:49
FanDuel4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +1.11%E +0.239%K +0.305%G +0.003%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 10:40
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 10:39
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:55
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:55
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.025%E +0.005%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:54
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -1.28%E -0.282%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:49
DraftKings4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV -1.71%E -0.379%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 10:54
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 10:44
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:09
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:25
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:24
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:09
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:24
Betclic (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.15%E -0.478%K -0.614%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:39
PMU (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 10:55
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 10:24
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.32%E -0.983%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 10:09
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 10:09
Bally Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:50
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 10:49
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 10:54
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.41%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -6.88%E -5.78%K -36.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 10:55
Unibet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:39
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:40
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:39
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 10:09
Fliff4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.50%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 10:49
GTbets4.29I 23.31%NM 22.00%EV -6.72%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.00%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 10:54
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -7.15%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 09:54
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -7.15%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.75%E -3.05%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 10:09
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 10:09
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 01:25
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 10:24
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 10:40
BetMGM4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 10:24
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.59%E -1.78%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 10:50
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 10:24
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.67%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 10:24
PointsBet (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.85%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 10:09
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.85%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 10:25
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.85%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 10:25
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.18%E -1.74%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 06:20
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 09:54
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 10:39
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 10:49
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.02%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 10:22
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-05-10 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-05-10 10:49
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-05-10 10:54
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-10 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-05-10 10:50
Novig4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%4.1%2026-05-10 10:40