Language:English
Zizou Bergs v Tommy Paul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Prediction 21.68%4.61fair odd
EV +3.00%
Edge +0.631%
Kelly +0.800%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.03%21.84%21.71%24.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.304.304.7526.67%23.27%23.26%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tommy Paul (Visit)
Prediction 78.32%1.28fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -8.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.15%78.16%78.29%79.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.221.221.2585.47%81.90%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 21.68%; Tommy Paul (Visit): 78.32%. For Zizou Bergs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +3.00%E +0.631%K +0.800%G +0.024% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.80%E -5.72%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 03:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV +0.830%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 03:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +0.830%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 03:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.254%E -0.055%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 03:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.17%EV -0.688%E -0.150%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.83%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 03:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -1.12%E -0.246%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 03:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.21%E -0.489%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.21%E -0.489%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 02:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 02:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 03:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 03:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 03:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 03:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 03:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.51%E -0.788%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 03:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 03:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.37%E -7.15%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 03:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.68%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -6.11%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 03:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:21 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 03:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 03:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 03:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 03:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 03:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.84%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.84%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.84%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 03:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 14:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -18.69%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -18.69%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.61% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.39% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |