Langue:Français
Zizou Bergs v Tommy Paul
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Prévision 21.68%4.61cote équitable
EV +3.00%
Avantage +0.631%
Kelly +0.800%
Croissance +0.024%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.03%21.84%21.71%24.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.304.304.7526.67%23.27%23.26%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Tommy Paul (Visiteur)
Prévision 78.32%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -8.42%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.15%78.16%78.29%79.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.221.2585.47%81.90%81.97%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Zizou Bergs (Local) : 21.68% ; Tommy Paul (Visiteur) : 78.32%. Pour Zizou Bergs (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.61. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.75, soit une espérance positive de +3.00%.
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +3.00%E +0.631%K +0.800%G +0.024% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.80%E -5.72%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 03:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV +0.830%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 03:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +0.830%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 03:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.254%E -0.055%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 03:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.17%EV -0.688%E -0.150%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.83%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 03:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -1.12%E -0.246%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 03:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.21%E -0.489%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.21%E -0.489%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 02:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 02:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 03:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 03:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 03:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 03:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 03:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.51%E -0.788%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 03:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 03:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.37%E -7.15%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 03:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.68%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -6.11%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 03:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:21 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 03:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 03:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 03:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 03:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 03:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.84%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.84%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.84%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 03:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 03:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 14:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -18.69%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -18.69%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.61% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.39% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-03-07 03:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 03:40 |