La escuela de los momios

Zizou Bergs v Tommy Paul

Inicio: 2026-03-07 03:50 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Predicción 21.68%4.61momio equitativo
EV +3.00%
Ventaja +0.631%
Kelly +0.800%
Crecimiento +0.024%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.03%21.84%21.71%24.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.304.304.7526.67%23.27%23.26%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tommy Paul (Visitante)

Predicción 78.32%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -8.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.15%78.16%78.29%79.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.221.221.2585.47%81.90%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +3.00%E +0.631%K +0.800%G +0.024%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.80%E -5.72%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 03:04
DraftKings4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV +0.830%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 03:34
FanDuel4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +0.830%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 03:04
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.254%E -0.055%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 03:24
1xBet4.58I 21.83%NM 21.17%EV -0.688%E -0.150%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.83%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 03:24
Pinnacle4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -1.12%E -0.246%K -0.315%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 03:20
LowVig.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.21%E -0.489%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 03:40
BetOnline.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.21%E -0.489%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 03:39
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 02:39
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 02:38
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 03:25
NordicBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 03:24
Betsson4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 03:25
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 03:25
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 03:04
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 03:40
GTbets4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.51%E -0.788%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 03:40
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 03:20
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 03:25
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.37%E -7.15%K -49.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 03:14
Unibet (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.68%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:39
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -6.11%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 03:05
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:21
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
Bally Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 03:00
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 03:29
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 03:05
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 03:14
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 03:24
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 03:29
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.84%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 11:20
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.84%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 22:00
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.84%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 03:04
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:15
Fliff4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 03:39
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 03:40
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 11:20
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 17:20
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 17:20
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 17:20
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 02:00
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:30
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 14:19
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:11
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:10
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:11
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -18.69%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:10
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -18.69%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-03-07 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-03-07 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-03-07 03:40
Novig4.57I 21.88%NM 21.61%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.39%1.2%2026-03-07 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-03-07 03:39
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%1.7%2026-03-07 03:40