A Escola das Odds

Zizou Bergs v Tommy Paul

Início: 2026-03-07 03:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Previsão 21.68%4.61odd justa
EV +3.00%
Vantagem +0.631%
Kelly +0.800%
Crescimento +0.024%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.03%21.84%21.71%24.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.304.304.7526.67%23.27%23.26%21.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tommy Paul (Visitante)

Previsão 78.32%1.28odd justa
EV -2.10%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -8.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.15%78.16%78.29%79.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.171.221.221.2585.47%81.90%81.97%80.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +3.00%E +0.631%K +0.800%G +0.024%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.80%E -5.72%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 03:04
DraftKings4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV +0.830%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 03:34
FanDuel4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +0.830%E +0.178%K +0.227%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 03:04
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.254%E -0.055%K -0.071%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 03:24
1xBet4.58I 21.83%NM 21.17%EV -0.688%E -0.150%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.83%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 03:24
Pinnacle4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV -1.12%E -0.246%K -0.315%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 03:20
LowVig.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.21%E -0.489%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 03:40
BetOnline.ag4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -2.21%E -0.489%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 03:39
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 02:39
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 02:38
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 03:25
NordicBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 03:24
Betsson4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 03:25
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 03:25
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 03:04
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.42%E -0.538%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 03:40
GTbets4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.51%E -0.788%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 03:40
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 03:20
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 03:25
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.59%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.37%E -7.15%K -49.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 03:14
Unibet (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.68%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 03:39
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -6.11%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 03:05
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:21
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
Bally Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.67%E -2.98%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 11:20
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 03:00
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 03:29
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 03:05
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 03:14
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 03:24
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.76%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 03:29
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.84%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 11:20
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.84%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 22:00
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.84%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 03:04
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 03:15
Fliff4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 03:39
TAB4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.93%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.02%E -5.02%K -30.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 03:40
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.10%E -2.71%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.24%E -4.33%K -24.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 11:20
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 17:20
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 17:20
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 17:20
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 02:00
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.10%E -1.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 22:30
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.26%E -3.32%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 14:19
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:11
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:10
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -15.43%E -3.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -4.45%E -3.65%K -20.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:11
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -18.69%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:10
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -18.69%E -4.98%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.89%E -2.33%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-03-07 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-03-07 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-03-07 03:40
Novig4.57I 21.88%NM 21.61%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.39%1.2%2026-03-07 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-03-07 03:39
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%1.7%2026-03-07 03:40