Language:English
Michael Zheng v Arthur Cazaux
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Michael Zheng (Local)
Prediction 56.97%1.76fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.833%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%57.00%57.03%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.671.661.7363.29%60.06%60.24%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Cazaux (Visit)
Prediction 43.03%2.32fair odd
EV +4.56%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +3.19%
Growth +0.146%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%43.00%42.97%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.4347.62%45.50%45.45%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Michael Zheng (Local): 56.97%; Arthur Cazaux (Visit): 43.03%. For Arthur Cazaux (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +4.56%E +1.88%K +3.19%G +0.146% | 3.3% | 2026-03-05 01:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -9.99%E -6.32%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +2.41%E +1.01%K +1.75%G +0.042% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 01:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.89%E -0.830%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 04:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.58%E -1.51%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 03:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.14%E -4.38%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 04:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 11:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.47%E -2.02%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 05:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 21:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 04:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.85%E -5.53%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 07:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.76%E -2.63%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 21:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.14%E -4.38%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 02:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 04:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 21:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 23:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 21:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 05:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 05:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-03-05 03:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71% | 10.0% | 2026-03-05 04:15 |