StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Michael Zheng v Arthur Cazaux

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-06 03:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Michael Zheng (Heim)

Prognose 56.97%1.76faire Quote
EV -1.44%
Vorteil -0.833%
Kelly -1.98%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.83%57.00%57.03%60.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.581.671.661.7363.29%60.06%60.24%57.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Cazaux (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.03%2.32faire Quote
EV +4.56%
Vorteil +1.88%
Kelly +3.19%
Wachstum +0.146%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.43

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.85%43.00%42.97%45.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.102.202.202.4347.62%45.50%45.45%41.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Michael Zheng (Heim): 56.97%; Arthur Cazaux (Auswärts): 43.03%. Für Arthur Cazaux (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.32. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.43 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.56%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +4.56%E +1.88%K +3.19%G +0.146%3.3%2026-03-05 01:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -9.99%E -6.32%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +2.41%E +1.01%K +1.75%G +0.042%5.3%2026-03-05 01:05
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.89%E -0.830%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 04:15
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.58%E -1.51%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 04:10
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 03:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.14%E -4.38%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 15:39
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 04:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.47%E -2.02%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 15:39
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 05:09
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:34
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 23:05
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 04:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 15:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.85%E -5.53%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 07:20
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.76%E -2.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:35
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 04:10
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.14%E -4.38%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 04:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 04:45
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:39
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:29
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 05:10
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 15:39
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 04:10
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 12:10
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 15:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 15:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-05 05:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-05 05:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-05 05:15
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-05 03:55
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%10.0%2026-03-05 04:15