Die Wettquotenschule

Michael Zheng v Arthur Cazaux

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-06 03:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Michael Zheng (Heim)

Prognose 56.97%1.76faire Quote
EV -1.44%
Vorteil -0.833%
Kelly -1.98%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.83%57.00%57.03%60.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.581.671.661.7363.29%60.06%60.24%57.80%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Arthur Cazaux (Auswärts)

Prognose 43.03%2.32faire Quote
EV +4.56%
Vorteil +1.88%
Kelly +3.19%
Wachstum +0.146%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.43

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.85%43.00%42.97%45.17%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.102.202.202.4347.62%45.50%45.45%41.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +4.56%E +1.88%K +3.19%G +0.146%3.3%2026-03-05 01:10
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -9.99%E -6.32%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +2.41%E +1.01%K +1.75%G +0.042%5.3%2026-03-05 01:05
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.89%E -0.830%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 04:15
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 19:15
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.58%E -1.51%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 04:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 03:20
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.14%E -4.38%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 15:39
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 04:20
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.47%E -2.02%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 15:39
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 05:09
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:34
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 20:40
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 23:05
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 04:20
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 15:40
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.85%E -5.53%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 07:20
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.76%E -2.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:35
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 04:10
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 14:45
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.14%E -4.38%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 11:20
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 04:45
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 04:45
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:39
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:40
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:29
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 05:10
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 15:39
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 23:25
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 04:10
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 12:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 15:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:40
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 15:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:05
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-05 05:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-05 05:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-05 05:15
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-05 03:55
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%10.0%2026-03-05 04:15