A Escola das Odds

Michael Zheng v Arthur Cazaux

Início: 2026-03-06 03:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Michael Zheng (Local)

Previsão 56.97%1.76odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.833%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.83%57.00%57.03%60.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.581.671.661.7363.29%60.06%60.24%57.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Cazaux (Visitante)

Previsão 43.03%2.32odd justa
EV +4.56%
Vantagem +1.88%
Kelly +3.19%
Crescimento +0.146%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.85%43.00%42.97%45.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.202.202.4347.62%45.50%45.45%41.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +4.56%E +1.88%K +3.19%G +0.146%3.3%2026-03-05 01:10
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -9.99%E -6.32%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +2.41%E +1.01%K +1.75%G +0.042%5.3%2026-03-05 01:05
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.89%E -0.830%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 04:15
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 19:15
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.58%E -1.51%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 04:10
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 03:20
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.14%E -4.38%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 15:39
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 04:20
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.47%E -2.02%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 15:39
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 05:09
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:34
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 20:40
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 23:05
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 04:20
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 15:40
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.85%E -5.53%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 07:20
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.76%E -2.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:35
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 04:10
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 14:45
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.14%E -4.38%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 11:20
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 04:45
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 04:45
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:39
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:40
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:29
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 05:10
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 15:39
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 23:25
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 04:10
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 12:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 15:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:40
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 15:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:05
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-05 05:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-05 05:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-05 05:15
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-05 03:55
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%10.0%2026-03-05 04:15