StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Michael Zheng v Arthur Cazaux

Matchstart: 2026-03-06 03:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Michael Zheng (Hemma)

Prognos 56.97%1.76rättvist odds
EV -1.44%
Fördel -0.833%
Kelly -1.98%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.73

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.83%57.00%57.03%60.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.581.671.661.7363.29%60.06%60.24%57.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Cazaux (Borta)

Prognos 43.03%2.32rättvist odds
EV +4.56%
Fördel +1.88%
Kelly +3.19%
Tillväxt +0.146%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.43

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.85%43.00%42.97%45.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.202.202.4347.62%45.50%45.45%41.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Michael Zheng (Hemma): 56.97%; Arthur Cazaux (Borta): 43.03%. För Arthur Cazaux (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.32. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.43, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.56%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +4.56%E +1.88%K +3.19%G +0.146%3.3%2026-03-05 01:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -9.99%E -6.32%K -17.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +2.41%E +1.01%K +1.75%G +0.042%5.3%2026-03-05 01:05
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.89%E -0.830%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 04:15
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-04 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.58%E -1.51%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 04:10
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 03:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.14%E -4.38%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 15:39
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.61%E -1.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 04:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:25
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.43%E -3.27%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.47%E -2.02%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 15:39
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 05:09
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:34
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 23:05
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 04:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 15:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.85%E -5.53%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 07:20
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.76%E -2.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 21:35
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 04:10
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -7.14%E -4.38%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 04:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 04:45
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:39
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.15%E -1.85%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 02:29
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 05:10
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.55%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 15:39
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 23:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 04:10
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 12:10
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 15:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.49%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 15:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.44%E -0.833%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.64%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-05 05:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-05 05:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-05 05:15
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-03-05 03:55
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%10.0%2026-03-05 04:15