Language:English
Learner Tien v Jannik Sinner
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Learner Tien (Local)
Prediction 11.41%8.76fair odd
EV +16.38%
Edge +1.61%
Kelly +1.78%
Growth +0.292%
assuming max odds 10.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.41%11.51%11.49%13.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.708.859.0010.2014.93%11.30%11.11%9.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jannik Sinner (Visit)
Prediction 88.59%1.13fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -25.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.23%88.49%88.51%90.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.1097.09%93.90%94.34%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Learner Tien (Local): 11.41%; Jannik Sinner (Visit): 88.59%. For Learner Tien (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.76. 32 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +16.38%E +1.61%K +1.78%G +0.292% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.97I 10.03%NM 9.61%EV +13.76%E +1.38%K +1.53%G +0.211% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.39%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 20:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.90%EV +10.10%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.118% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 20:17 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +8.39%E +0.883%K +0.987%G +0.083% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +8.39%E +0.883%K +0.987%G +0.083% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +8.39%E +0.883%K +0.987%G +0.083% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.87%E -7.56%K -196.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +6.80%E +0.726%K +0.813%G +0.055% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +6.80%E +0.726%K +0.813%G +0.055% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV +5.54%E +0.599%K +0.672%G +0.037% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.87%E -7.56%K -196.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 20:16 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 20:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 11.00%EV +1.55%E +0.174%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.00%EV -2.55%E -2.32%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.91%EV +1.55%E +0.174%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.09%EV -3.44%E -3.15%K -38.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -0.164%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 20:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.44%E -3.15%K -38.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 20:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 20:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.45I 11.83%NM 10.86%EV -3.59%E -0.425%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.14%EV -8.75%E -8.50%K -291.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -5.87%E -0.711%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 20:18 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -5.87%E -0.711%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 20:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.72%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.72%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.72%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 20:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -11.57%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -11.57%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 20:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 20:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 20:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.44%E -3.15%K -38.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 20:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -23.55%E -3.52%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Novig◎ | 9.26I 10.80%NM 10.62% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.38% | 1.7% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99% | 1.9% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |