La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Learner Tien v Jannik Sinner
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Learner Tien (Local)
Predicción 11.41%8.76momio equitativo
EV +16.38%
Ventaja +1.61%
Kelly +1.78%
Crecimiento +0.292%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.41%11.51%11.49%13.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.708.859.0010.2014.93%11.30%11.11%9.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jannik Sinner (Visitante)
Predicción 88.59%1.13momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -2.32%
Kelly -25.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.23%88.49%88.51%90.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.031.061.061.1097.09%93.90%94.34%90.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +16.38%E +1.61%K +1.78%G +0.292% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Unibet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| LeoVegas | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Casumo | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Grosvenor | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| TABtouch | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Bally Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| betPARX | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| GTbets | 9.97I 10.03%NM 9.61%EV +13.76%E +1.38%K +1.53%G +0.211% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.39%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 20:18 |
| Unibet (FR) | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.90%EV +10.10%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.118% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 20:17 |
| SportsBet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +8.39%E +0.883%K +0.987%G +0.083% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Paddy Power | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +8.39%E +0.883%K +0.987%G +0.083% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +8.39%E +0.883%K +0.987%G +0.083% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.87%E -7.56%K -196.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +6.80%E +0.726%K +0.813%G +0.055% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +6.80%E +0.726%K +0.813%G +0.055% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV +5.54%E +0.599%K +0.672%G +0.037% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.87%E -7.56%K -196.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 20:16 |
| Betway | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| William Hill | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 20:18 |
| theScore Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| 888sport | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Pinnacle | 8.90I 11.24%NM 11.00%EV +1.55%E +0.174%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.00%EV -2.55%E -2.32%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| DraftKings | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.91%EV +1.55%E +0.174%K +0.196%G +0.003% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.09%EV -3.44%E -3.15%K -38.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Bovada | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -0.164%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 20:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.44%E -3.15%K -38.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| BoyleSports | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Bet Right | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 20:19 |
| Coral | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| BetUS | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 20:19 |
| Fliff | 8.45I 11.83%NM 10.86%EV -3.59%E -0.425%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.14%EV -8.75%E -8.50%K -291.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -5.87%E -0.711%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 20:18 |
| Neds | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -5.87%E -0.711%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-12 20:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.72%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.72%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Caesars | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.72%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 20:19 |
| Coolbet | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -11.57%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| BetMGM | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -11.57%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Betsson | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 20:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| NordicBet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 20:19 |
| Everygame | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-12 20:10 |
| PlayUp | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.44%E -3.15%K -38.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| TAB | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Bet Victor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-12 20:18 |
| Fanatics | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -23.55%E -3.52%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01% | 0.1% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Matchbook | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83% | 0.3% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Novig | 9.26I 10.80%NM 10.62% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.38% | 1.7% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |
| Smarkets | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99% | 1.9% | 2026-03-12 20:20 |