StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Learner Tien v Jannik Sinner

Matchstart: 2026-03-12 20:25 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Learner Tien (Hemma)

Prognos 11.41%8.76rättvist odds
EV +16.38%
Fördel +1.61%
Kelly +1.78%
Tillväxt +0.292%

med antagandet om högsta odds 10.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
9.41%11.51%11.49%13.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
6.708.859.0010.2014.93%11.30%11.11%9.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jannik Sinner (Borta)

Prognos 88.59%1.13rättvist odds
EV -2.55%
Fördel -2.32%
Kelly -25.51%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
86.23%88.49%88.51%90.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.031.061.061.1097.09%93.90%94.34%90.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Learner Tien (Hemma): 11.41%; Jannik Sinner (Borta): 88.59%. För Learner Tien (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 8.76. 32 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 10.20, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +16.38%.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +16.38%E +1.61%K +1.78%G +0.292%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:20
Unibet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
LeoVegas🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Unibet (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Casumo🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Grosvenor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
LiveScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Unibet (NL)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
TABtouch🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Bally Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Svenska Spel🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
betPARX🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
ATG (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
GTbets🎯9.97I 10.03%NM 9.61%EV +13.76%E +1.38%K +1.53%G +0.211%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.39%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 20:18
Unibet (FR)🎯9.65I 10.36%NM 9.90%EV +10.10%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.118%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 20:17
SportsBet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +8.39%E +0.883%K +0.987%G +0.083%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 20:20
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +8.39%E +0.883%K +0.987%G +0.083%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 20:20
Virgin Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +8.39%E +0.883%K +0.987%G +0.083%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.87%E -7.56%K -196.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 20:20
LowVig.ag🎯9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +6.80%E +0.726%K +0.813%G +0.055%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +6.80%E +0.726%K +0.813%G +0.055%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:20
NetBet (FR)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV +5.54%E +0.599%K +0.672%G +0.037%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.87%E -7.56%K -196.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 20:16
Betway🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 20:20
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 20:18
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 20:20
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Pinnacle🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 11.00%EV +1.55%E +0.174%K +0.196%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.00%EV -2.55%E -2.32%K -25.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-12 20:20
DraftKings🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.91%EV +1.55%E +0.174%K +0.196%G +0.003%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.09%EV -3.44%E -3.15%K -38.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 20:20
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -0.164%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 20:19
Winamax (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.44%E -3.15%K -38.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-12 20:20
BoyleSports🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 20:20
Bet Right🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 20:19
Coral🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 20:20
BetUS🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 20:19
Fliff🎯8.45I 11.83%NM 10.86%EV -3.59%E -0.425%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.14%EV -8.75%E -8.50%K -291.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-12 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -5.87%E -0.711%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 20:18
Neds🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -5.87%E -0.711%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 20:19
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.72%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.72%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 20:20
Caesars🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.72%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 20:19
Coolbet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -11.57%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 20:20
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -11.57%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 20:20
Betsson🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:20
NordicBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:19
Everygame🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:10
PlayUp🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.44%E -3.15%K -38.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 20:20
TAB🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 20:20
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 20:18
Fanatics🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -23.55%E -3.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 20:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-03-12 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-03-12 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-03-12 20:20
Matchbook9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%0.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Novig9.26I 10.80%NM 10.62%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.38%1.7%2026-03-12 20:20
Smarkets9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99%1.9%2026-03-12 20:20