La scuola delle quote

Learner Tien v Jannik Sinner

Inizio: 2026-03-12 20:25 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Learner Tien (Casa)

Previsione 11.41%8.76quota equa
EV +16.38%
Vantaggio +1.61%
Kelly +1.78%
Crescita +0.292%

ipotizzando la quota massima 10.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.41%11.51%11.49%13.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.708.859.0010.2014.93%11.30%11.11%9.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jannik Sinner (Trasferta)

Previsione 88.59%1.13quota equa
EV -2.55%
Vantaggio -2.32%
Kelly -25.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
86.23%88.49%88.51%90.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.031.061.061.1097.09%93.90%94.34%90.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV +16.38%E +1.61%K +1.78%G +0.292%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:20
Unibet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
LeoVegas10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Casumo10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Grosvenor10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
LiveScore Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
TABtouch10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Bally Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
betPARX10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Hard Rock Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +14.10%E +1.41%K +1.57%G +0.221%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-12 20:20
GTbets9.97I 10.03%NM 9.61%EV +13.76%E +1.38%K +1.53%G +0.211%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.39%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 20:18
Unibet (FR)9.65I 10.36%NM 9.90%EV +10.10%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.118%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.10%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 20:17
SportsBet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +8.39%E +0.883%K +0.987%G +0.083%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 20:20
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +8.39%E +0.883%K +0.987%G +0.083%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 20:20
Virgin Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +8.39%E +0.883%K +0.987%G +0.083%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.87%E -7.56%K -196.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 20:20
LowVig.ag9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +6.80%E +0.726%K +0.813%G +0.055%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:20
BetOnline.ag9.36I 10.68%NM 10.26%EV +6.80%E +0.726%K +0.813%G +0.055%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-12 20:20
NetBet (FR)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV +5.54%E +0.599%K +0.672%G +0.037%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.87%E -7.56%K -196.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-12 20:16
Betway9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 20:20
William Hill9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 20:18
theScore Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 20:20
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 20:20
888sport9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Mr Green (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 20:20
888sport (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +2.69%E +0.299%K +0.336%G +0.009%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Pinnacle8.90I 11.24%NM 11.00%EV +1.55%E +0.174%K +0.196%G +0.003%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.00%EV -2.55%E -2.32%K -25.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-12 20:20
DraftKings8.90I 11.24%NM 10.91%EV +1.55%E +0.174%K +0.196%G +0.003%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.09%EV -3.44%E -3.15%K -38.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-12 20:20
Bovada8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -0.164%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 20:19
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.44%E -3.15%K -38.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-12 20:20
BoyleSports8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 20:20
Bet Right8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 20:19
Coral8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 20:20
BetUS8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 20:20
Betr (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.02%E -0.355%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 20:19
Fliff8.45I 11.83%NM 10.86%EV -3.59%E -0.425%K -0.482%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.14%EV -8.75%E -8.50%K -291.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-12 20:20
Ladbrokes (AU)8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -5.87%E -0.711%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 20:18
Neds8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -5.87%E -0.711%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -6.98%E -6.65%K -139.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 20:19
Unibet (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.72%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 20:20
Winamax (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -8.72%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 20:20
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -8.72%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 20:19
Coolbet7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -11.57%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 20:20
BetMGM7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -11.57%E -1.49%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -6.09%E -5.75%K -101.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 20:20
Betsson7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:19
PointsBet (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:20
NordicBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:19
Everygame7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -14.43%E -1.92%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 20:10
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -3.44%E -3.15%K -38.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 20:20
TAB7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.32%E -4.00%K -54.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 20:20
Betclic (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 20:20
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -20.13%E -2.88%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-12 20:18
Fanatics6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -23.55%E -3.52%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -5.21%E -4.87%K -74.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-12 20:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-03-12 20:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-03-12 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.99%1.11I 90.09%NM 90.01%0.1%2026-03-12 20:20
Matchbook9.80I 10.20%NM 10.17%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.83%0.3%2026-03-12 20:20
Novig9.26I 10.80%NM 10.62%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.38%1.7%2026-03-12 20:20
Smarkets9.80I 10.20%NM 10.01%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.99%1.9%2026-03-12 20:20