Szkoła Kursów

Joao Fonseca v Jannik Sinner

Początek: 2026-03-11 01:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Joao Fonseca (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 11.12%8.99kurs godziwy
EV +11.21%
Przewaga +1.12%
Kelly +1.25%
Wzrost +0.140%

przy maksymalnym kursie 10.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
9.50%11.15%11.18%13.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.008.348.0010.0014.29%11.99%12.50%10.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jannik Sinner (Goście)

Prognoza 88.88%1.13kurs godziwy
EV -3.12%
Przewaga -2.86%
Kelly -34.69%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.09

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
86.74%88.85%88.82%90.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.031.071.071.0997.09%93.40%93.46%91.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
theScore Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +11.21%E +1.12%K +1.25%G +0.140%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.68%E -6.36%K -133.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 01:00
Pinnacle9.86I 10.14%NM 9.95%EV +9.66%E +0.979%K +1.09%G +0.105%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.05%EV -3.12%E -2.86%K -34.69%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-11 01:00
FanDuel9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +6.77%E +0.705%K +0.787%G +0.053%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 01:00
Winamax (DE)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-11 01:00
Bovada9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 00:58
SportsBet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 01:00
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 01:00
Unibet (FR)9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV +4.54%E +0.483%K +0.541%G +0.025%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 01:00
NetBet (FR)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV +2.87%E +0.311%K +0.348%G +0.010%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.57%E -7.28%K -189.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 01:00
DraftKings9.20I 10.87%NM 10.51%EV +2.32%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.007%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.49%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-11 01:00
Coolbet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.12%E -2.86%K -34.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-11 00:59
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 00:59
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 01:00
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.46%E -8.21%K -281.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 00:58
Betclic (FR)8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -2.13%E -0.242%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 00:56
LowVig.ag8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -2.58%E -0.294%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 01:00
BetOnline.ag8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -2.58%E -0.294%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 01:00
1xBet8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -4.91%E -0.574%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:59
GTbets8.52I 11.74%NM 11.16%EV -5.25%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.84%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 01:00
Bet Right8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 01:00
Unibet (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:58
Betway8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 01:00
BetUS8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 00:59
Marathon Bet8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -7.69%E -0.927%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 00:59
Betsson8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -8.25%E -1.000%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 01:00
NordicBet8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -8.25%E -1.000%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 01:00
Fliff8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -8.25%E -1.000%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 01:00
Codere (IT)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -8.80%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 00:59
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
Unibet (NL)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
BetRivers8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:56
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
PointsBet (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
ATG (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
Hard Rock Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
PlayUp8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 00:59
William Hill8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 01:00
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 00:55
Betr (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 01:00
888sport8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 00:59
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 01:00
888sport (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 00:59
Mr Green (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 00:59
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 01:00
BetMGM7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 01:00
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 01:00
TAB7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 01:00
Neds7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 01:00
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 01:00
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -22.15%E -3.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 01:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-11 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-11 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-11 01:00
Matchbook10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-11 01:00
Novig10.10I 9.90%NM 9.82%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.18%0.8%2026-03-11 01:00
Smarkets10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.67%2.1%2026-03-11 01:00