Idioma:Español
Joao Fonseca v Jannik Sinner
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Predicción 11.12%8.99momio equitativo
EV +11.21%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.140%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.50%11.15%11.18%13.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.008.348.0010.0014.29%11.99%12.50%10.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jannik Sinner (Visitante)
Predicción 88.88%1.13momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -2.86%
Kelly -34.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.74%88.85%88.82%90.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.031.071.071.0997.09%93.40%93.46%91.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Joao Fonseca (Local): 11.12%; Jannik Sinner (Visitante): 88.88%. Para Joao Fonseca (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.99. 14 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 10.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.21%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +11.21%E +1.12%K +1.25%G +0.140% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.68%E -6.36%K -133.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.86I 10.14%NM 9.95%EV +9.66%E +0.979%K +1.09%G +0.105% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.05%EV -3.12%E -2.86%K -34.69%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +6.77%E +0.705%K +0.787%G +0.053% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 00:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV +4.54%E +0.483%K +0.541%G +0.025% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV +2.87%E +0.311%K +0.348%G +0.010% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.57%E -7.28%K -189.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.51%EV +2.32%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.007% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.49%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.12%E -2.86%K -34.69%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.46%E -8.21%K -281.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 00:58 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -2.13%E -0.242%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 00:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -2.58%E -0.294%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -2.58%E -0.294%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -4.91%E -0.574%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.52I 11.74%NM 11.16%EV -5.25%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.84%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 00:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -7.69%E -0.927%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -8.25%E -1.000%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -8.25%E -1.000%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -8.25%E -1.000%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -8.80%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 00:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -22.15%E -3.16%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.82% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.18% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.67% | 2.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |