L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Joao Fonseca v Jannik Sinner
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Joao Fonseca (Local)
Prévision 11.12%8.99cote équitable
EV +11.21%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.25%
Croissance +0.140%
avec la cote maximale 10.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.50%11.15%11.18%13.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.008.348.0010.0014.29%11.99%12.50%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jannik Sinner (Visiteur)
Prévision 88.88%1.13cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -2.86%
Kelly -34.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.74%88.85%88.82%90.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.031.071.071.0997.09%93.40%93.46%91.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +11.21%E +1.12%K +1.25%G +0.140% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.68%E -6.36%K -133.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Pinnacle | 9.86I 10.14%NM 9.95%EV +9.66%E +0.979%K +1.09%G +0.105% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.05%EV -3.12%E -2.86%K -34.69%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| FanDuel | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +6.77%E +0.705%K +0.787%G +0.053% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Bovada | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 00:58 |
| SportsBet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Paddy Power | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV +4.54%E +0.483%K +0.541%G +0.025% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV +2.87%E +0.311%K +0.348%G +0.010% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.57%E -7.28%K -189.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| DraftKings | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.51%EV +2.32%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.007% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.49%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Coolbet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.12%E -2.86%K -34.69%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| BoyleSports | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.46%E -8.21%K -281.84%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 00:58 |
| Betclic (FR) | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -2.13%E -0.242%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 00:56 |
| LowVig.ag | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -2.58%E -0.294%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -2.58%E -0.294%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| 1xBet | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -4.91%E -0.574%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| GTbets | 8.52I 11.74%NM 11.16%EV -5.25%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.84%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Bet Right | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 00:58 |
| Betway | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| BetUS | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -7.69%E -0.927%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| Betsson | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -8.25%E -1.000%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| NordicBet | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -8.25%E -1.000%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Fliff | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -8.25%E -1.000%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -8.80%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| Unibet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| LeoVegas | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| TABtouch | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Casumo | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| BetRivers | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 00:56 |
| Grosvenor | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| betPARX | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Bally Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| PlayUp | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| William Hill | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Everygame | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 00:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| 888sport | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| Caesars | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 00:59 |
| Coral | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| BetMGM | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| TAB | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Neds | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Fanatics | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Bet Victor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -22.15%E -3.16%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Matchbook | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Novig | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.82% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.18% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |
| Smarkets | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.67% | 2.1% | 2026-03-11 01:00 |