StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Joao Fonseca v Jannik Sinner

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-11 01:05 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Joao Fonseca (Heim)

Prognose 11.12%8.99faire Quote
EV +11.21%
Vorteil +1.12%
Kelly +1.25%
Wachstum +0.140%

bei einer Höchstquote von 10.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.50%11.15%11.18%13.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.008.348.0010.0014.29%11.99%12.50%10.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Jannik Sinner (Auswärts)

Prognose 88.88%1.13faire Quote
EV -3.12%
Vorteil -2.86%
Kelly -34.69%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.09

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
86.74%88.85%88.82%90.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.031.071.071.0997.09%93.40%93.46%91.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Joao Fonseca (Heim): 11.12%; Jannik Sinner (Auswärts): 88.88%. Für Joao Fonseca (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 8.99. 14 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 10.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +11.21%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
theScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +11.21%E +1.12%K +1.25%G +0.140%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -6.68%E -6.36%K -133.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 01:00
Pinnacle🎯9.86I 10.14%NM 9.95%EV +9.66%E +0.979%K +1.09%G +0.105%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.05%EV -3.12%E -2.86%K -34.69%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-11 01:00
FanDuel🎯9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +6.77%E +0.705%K +0.787%G +0.053%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 01:00
Winamax (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.79%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-11 01:00
Bovada🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 00:58
SportsBet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 01:00
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +5.65%E +0.595%K +0.665%G +0.038%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV +4.54%E +0.483%K +0.541%G +0.025%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 01:00
NetBet (FR)🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV +2.87%E +0.311%K +0.348%G +0.010%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.57%E -7.28%K -189.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-11 01:00
DraftKings🎯9.20I 10.87%NM 10.51%EV +2.32%E +0.252%K +0.283%G +0.007%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.49%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-11 01:00
Coolbet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%EV -3.12%E -2.86%K -34.69%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-11 00:59
BoyleSports🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-11 00:59
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-11 01:00
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV +0.093%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.46%E -8.21%K -281.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 00:58
Betclic (FR)🎯8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -2.13%E -0.242%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 00:56
LowVig.ag🎯8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -2.58%E -0.294%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯8.76I 11.42%NM 10.98%EV -2.58%E -0.294%K -0.332%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.02%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 01:00
1xBet🎯8.55I 11.70%NM 11.12%EV -4.91%E -0.574%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.88%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:59
GTbets🎯8.52I 11.74%NM 11.16%EV -5.25%E -0.616%K -0.698%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.84%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 01:00
Bet Right🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 00:58
Betway🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 01:00
BetUS🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -5.47%E -0.643%K -0.729%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-11 00:59
Marathon Bet🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -7.69%E -0.927%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 00:59
Betsson🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -8.25%E -1.000%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 01:00
NordicBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -8.25%E -1.000%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 01:00
Fliff🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -8.25%E -1.000%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 01:00
Codere (IT)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.54%EV -8.80%E -1.07%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.46%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-11 00:59
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
LeoVegas🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 00:56
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 01:00
PlayUp🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 00:59
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 01:00
Everygame🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 01:00
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 00:59
Caesars🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 01:00
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -11.03%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 00:59
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 01:00
BetMGM🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.01%E -3.71%K -50.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 01:00
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 01:00
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 01:00
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.59%E -2.21%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -5.79%E -5.46%K -96.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 01:00
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -22.15%E -3.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.90%E -4.58%K -70.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 01:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-11 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-11 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-11 01:00
Matchbook10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-03-11 01:00
Novig10.10I 9.90%NM 9.82%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.18%0.8%2026-03-11 01:00
Smarkets10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.67%2.1%2026-03-11 01:00