Language:English
Jenson Brooksby v Alexei Popyrin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jenson Brooksby (Local)
Prediction 56.86%1.76fair odd
EV +2.36%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +2.94%
Growth +0.069%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%56.53%56.96%61.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.651.651.8065.79%60.75%60.61%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexei Popyrin (Visit)
Prediction 43.14%2.32fair odd
EV +3.53%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +2.52%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.78%43.47%43.04%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.212.202.4051.28%45.34%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jenson Brooksby (Local): 56.86%; Alexei Popyrin (Visit): 43.14%. For Alexei Popyrin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -13.57%E -8.93%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +3.53%E +1.47%K +2.52%G +0.089% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -10.72%E -6.83%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV +0.075%E +0.032%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.787%E -0.342%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -10.15%E -6.43%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -0.787%E -0.342%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -10.15%E -6.43%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -0.787%E -0.342%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.72%E -6.83%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -0.787%E -0.342%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.65%E -0.724%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 00:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.65%E -0.724%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.65%E -0.724%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.29%E -7.24%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.65%E -0.724%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -2.51%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 00:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -11.86%E -7.65%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.67%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.67%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:12 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 00:16 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.45%E -5.25%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 00:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV +0.081%E +0.046%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.83%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 00:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.83%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.55%E -4.03%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 00:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 00:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 22:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +2.36%E +1.31%K +2.94%G +0.069% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 00:18 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -15.88%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 00:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92% | 2.7% | 2026-03-05 00:20 |