A Escola das Odds

Jenson Brooksby v Alexei Popyrin

Início: 2026-03-05 00:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jenson Brooksby (Local)

Previsão 56.86%1.76odd justa
EV +2.36%
Vantagem +1.31%
Kelly +2.94%
Crescimento +0.069%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%56.53%56.96%61.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.651.651.8065.79%60.75%60.61%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexei Popyrin (Visitante)

Previsão 43.14%2.32odd justa
EV +3.53%
Vantagem +1.47%
Kelly +2.52%
Crescimento +0.089%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.78%43.47%43.04%47.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.212.202.4051.28%45.34%45.45%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -13.57%E -8.93%K -26.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +3.53%E +1.47%K +2.52%G +0.089%7.5%2026-03-05 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014%5.1%2026-03-05 00:20
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014%5.1%2026-03-05 00:20
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014%5.1%2026-03-05 00:20
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014%5.1%2026-03-05 00:20
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014%5.1%2026-03-05 00:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -10.72%E -6.83%K -18.81%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV +0.075%E +0.032%K +0.057%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 00:20
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.787%E -0.342%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:19
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -10.15%E -6.43%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -0.787%E -0.342%K -0.606%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 00:20
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -10.15%E -6.43%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -0.787%E -0.342%K -0.606%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 00:20
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.72%E -6.83%K -18.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -0.787%E -0.342%K -0.606%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:20
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.65%E -0.724%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 00:14
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.65%E -0.724%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:19
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.65%E -0.724%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:20
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.29%E -7.24%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.65%E -0.724%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 00:20
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -2.51%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 00:09
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:20
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:15
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:14
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:15
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:15
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:15
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -11.86%E -7.65%K -21.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 00:20
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.67%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.67%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:29
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:12
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:20
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:20
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:16
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:20
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.45%E -5.25%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 00:18
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 22:30
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:05
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV +0.081%E +0.046%K +0.106%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 00:20
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:15
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.83%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 00:04
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.83%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:25
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:19
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 00:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 00:05
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.55%E -4.03%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 00:20
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 22:30
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:19
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:14
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 00:15
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 00:20
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-05 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:30
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:30
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +2.36%E +1.31%K +2.94%G +0.069%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 00:18
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -15.88%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 00:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-03-05 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-03-05 00:20
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-03-05 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%2.7%2026-03-05 00:20