La escuela de los momios

Jenson Brooksby v Alexei Popyrin

Inicio: 2026-03-05 00:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jenson Brooksby (Local)

Predicción 56.86%1.76momio equitativo
EV +2.36%
Ventaja +1.31%
Kelly +2.94%
Crecimiento +0.069%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%56.53%56.96%61.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.651.651.8065.79%60.75%60.61%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexei Popyrin (Visitante)

Predicción 43.14%2.32momio equitativo
EV +3.53%
Ventaja +1.47%
Kelly +2.52%
Crecimiento +0.089%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.78%43.47%43.04%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.212.202.4051.28%45.34%45.45%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -13.57%E -8.93%K -26.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +3.53%E +1.47%K +2.52%G +0.089%7.5%2026-03-05 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014%5.1%2026-03-05 00:20
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014%5.1%2026-03-05 00:20
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014%5.1%2026-03-05 00:20
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014%5.1%2026-03-05 00:20
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +1.37%E +0.583%K +1.01%G +0.014%5.1%2026-03-05 00:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -10.72%E -6.83%K -18.81%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV +0.075%E +0.032%K +0.057%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 00:20
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.787%E -0.342%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 00:19
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -10.15%E -6.43%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -0.787%E -0.342%K -0.606%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 00:20
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -10.15%E -6.43%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -0.787%E -0.342%K -0.606%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 00:20
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.72%E -6.83%K -18.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -0.787%E -0.342%K -0.606%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:20
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.65%E -0.724%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-05 00:14
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.65%E -0.724%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:19
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.65%E -0.724%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:20
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -11.29%E -7.24%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -1.65%E -0.724%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 00:20
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -2.51%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 00:09
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:20
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:15
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:14
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:15
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:15
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:15
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -11.86%E -7.65%K -21.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -2.94%E -1.31%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 00:20
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.24%E -1.91%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -4.67%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.67%E -2.11%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:29
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.61%E -3.38%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:12
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:20
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:20
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.17%E -3.74%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:16
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:20
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.45%E -5.25%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 00:18
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.10%E -2.32%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 22:30
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.96%E -2.74%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:05
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV +0.081%E +0.046%K +0.106%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 00:20
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -1.63%E -0.939%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-05 00:15
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -3.90%E -2.31%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.83%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-05 00:04
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.47%E -2.66%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.83%E -3.16%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:25
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:19
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.74%E -4.11%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 00:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.26%E -3.38%K -6.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-05 00:05
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.55%E -4.03%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 00:20
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 22:30
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:19
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.76%E -1.62%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 00:14
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 22:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 00:15
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.04%E -3.02%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 00:20
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.88%E -4.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-05 00:20
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -9.02%E -5.64%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.41%E -4.48%K -8.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:30
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.57%E -5.64%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:30
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +2.36%E +1.31%K +2.94%G +0.069%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -13.73%E -6.86%K -13.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 00:18
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -3.33%E -1.96%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -15.88%E -8.15%K -16.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 00:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-03-05 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-03-05 00:20
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-03-05 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%2.7%2026-03-05 00:20