Language:English
Gael Monfils v Alexis Galarneau
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gael Monfils (Local)
Prediction 59.35%1.68fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -4.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%59.39%59.29%60.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.591.591.6465.79%62.89%62.89%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexis Galarneau (Visit)
Prediction 40.65%2.46fair odd
EV -0.814%
Edge -0.334%
Kelly -0.565%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.28%40.61%40.71%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.4445.45%42.71%42.55%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gael Monfils (Local): 59.35%; Alexis Galarneau (Visit): 40.65%. For Alexis Galarneau (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.44, with an expected value of -0.814%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.67%E -1.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -0.814%E -0.334%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.10%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.10%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 00:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 23:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 00:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 08:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.69%E -2.45%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 22:07 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.01%E -5.17%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.79%E -6.44%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 00:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 2.4% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |