La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Gael Monfils v Alexis Galarneau
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gael Monfils (Local)
Predicción 59.35%1.68momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.63%
Kelly -4.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.59%59.39%59.29%60.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.591.591.6465.79%62.89%62.89%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexis Galarneau (Visitante)
Predicción 40.65%2.46momio equitativo
EV -0.814%
Ventaja -0.334%
Kelly -0.565%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.28%40.61%40.71%42.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.342.352.4445.45%42.71%42.55%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.67%E -1.63%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 21:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -0.814%E -0.334%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 22:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.10%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Betsson | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.10%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-05 00:53 |
| FanDuel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 22:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 23:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| GTbets | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 00:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 22:20 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 08:50 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 08:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 08:49 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.69%E -2.45%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 00:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 22:07 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.01%E -5.17%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-05 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.79%E -6.44%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 00:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 2.4% | 2026-03-05 00:55 |