A Escola das Odds

Gael Monfils v Alexis Galarneau

Início: 2026-03-05 01:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Gael Monfils (Local)

Previsão 59.35%1.68odd justa
EV -2.67%
Vantagem -1.63%
Kelly -4.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.59%59.39%59.29%60.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.591.591.6465.79%62.89%62.89%60.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexis Galarneau (Visitante)

Previsão 40.65%2.46odd justa
EV -0.814%
Vantagem -0.334%
Kelly -0.565%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.28%40.61%40.71%42.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.342.352.4445.45%42.71%42.55%40.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.67%E -1.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 00:55
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 21:30
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -0.814%E -0.334%K -0.565%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-04 23:20
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 22:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 00:55
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.10%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:55
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 15:40
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 17:00
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 17:00
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 10:45
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:55
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:55
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:55
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.10%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:53
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 00:55
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:55
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 23:10
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 22:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 00:55
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 00:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 23:39
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 00:55
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 22:45
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:55
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 10:45
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:55
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:55
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 00:50
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:10
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 22:20
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 08:50
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 08:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 08:49
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 08:49
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.69%E -2.45%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 00:55
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:50
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:55
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 22:07
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 16:59
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.01%E -5.17%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 00:45
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.79%E -6.44%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 00:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-03-05 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-05 00:15
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-03-05 00:55