L’École des cotes

Gael Monfils v Alexis Galarneau

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gael Monfils (Local)

Prévision 59.35%1.68cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -4.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.59%59.39%59.29%60.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.591.591.6465.79%62.89%62.89%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexis Galarneau (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.65%2.46cote équitable
EV -0.814%
Avantage -0.334%
Kelly -0.565%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.28%40.61%40.71%42.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.342.352.4445.45%42.71%42.55%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.67%E -1.63%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 00:55
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.26%E -2.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 21:30
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -0.814%E -0.334%K -0.565%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-04 23:20
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 22:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-05 00:55
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.10%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:55
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 15:40
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 17:00
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.85%E -2.38%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 17:00
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 10:45
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 00:55
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:55
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:55
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.45%E -2.76%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -6.10%E -2.64%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:50
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-05 00:53
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-05 00:55
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.88%E -2.09%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.29%E -2.27%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 00:55
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 23:10
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 22:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 00:55
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 00:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.04%E -3.15%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.57%E -4.80%K -8.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 17:00
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 23:39
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 00:55
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 22:45
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.07%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:55
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.63%E -3.54%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 10:45
GTbets1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:55
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.44%E -1.02%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 00:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 00:55
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 00:50
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:10
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.23%E -3.94%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 22:20
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 08:50
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 08:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 08:49
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 08:49
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.25%E -1.37%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-05 00:55
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.69%E -2.45%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 00:55
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:50
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 00:55
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.82%E -4.34%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.54%E -3.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 22:07
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.41%E -4.75%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 16:59
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.01%E -5.17%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.51%E -2.83%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-05 00:45
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.79%E -6.44%K -18.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -4.47%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 00:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-03-05 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-05 00:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-05 00:15
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%2.4%2026-03-05 00:55