A Escola das Odds

Gabriel Diallo v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Início: 2026-03-09 01:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Gabriel Diallo (Local)

Previsão 23.05%4.34odd justa
EV +2.56%
Vantagem +0.576%
Kelly +0.743%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.01%23.28%22.93%26.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.034.004.4527.78%24.83%25.00%22.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visitante)

Previsão 76.95%1.30odd justa
EV -0.732%
Vantagem -0.567%
Kelly -2.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.62%76.72%77.07%78.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.171.251.251.2985.47%80.24%80.00%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +2.56%E +0.576%K +0.743%G +0.019%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:29
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +1.41%E +0.321%K +0.415%G +0.006%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:29
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +1.41%E +0.321%K +0.415%G +0.006%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.97%E -8.52%K -58.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 00:54
Pinnacle4.35I 22.99%NM 22.46%EV +0.258%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54%EV -3.04%E -2.41%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Coolbet4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +0.258%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 00:54
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.203%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:30
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.894%E -0.208%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 00:55
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.894%E -0.208%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:51
1xBet4.29I 23.31%NM 22.56%EV -1.12%E -0.262%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.44%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-09 00:30
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.05%E -0.482%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 00:26
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.05%E -0.482%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 00:30
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.05%E -0.482%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 00:54
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:54
NordicBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:54
Betsson4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:54
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:55
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:55
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.12%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:30
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.12%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:30
Fanatics4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.35%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:55
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -4.35%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 00:54
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 00:55
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 00:54
Betr (AU)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.66%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 00:54
Fliff4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.66%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 00:55
DraftKings4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -7.12%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -3.04%E -2.41%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 00:30
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 00:29
GTbets4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:55
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:30
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:29
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Bally Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.42%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 00:29
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.42%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 00:29
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.42%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:29
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 00:30
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 00:30
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.72%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:30
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.72%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:30
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -17.03%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.732%E -0.567%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 00:29
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -17.03%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.04%E -2.41%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 00:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-03-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Novig4.39I 22.78%NM 22.30%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.70%2.1%2026-03-09 00:29
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-03-09 00:30