مدرسة الاحتمالات

Gabriel Diallo v Felix Auger-Aliassime

البداية: 2026-03-09 01:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Gabriel Diallo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 23.05%4.34السعر العادل
EV +2.56%
الأفضلية +0.576%
Kelly +0.743%
النمو +0.019%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.01%23.28%22.93%26.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.034.004.4527.78%24.83%25.00%22.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Felix Auger-Aliassime (الضيف)

التنبؤ 76.95%1.30السعر العادل
EV -0.732%
الأفضلية -0.567%
Kelly -2.52%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
73.62%76.72%77.07%78.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.171.251.251.2985.47%80.24%80.00%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +2.56%E +0.576%K +0.743%G +0.019%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:29
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +1.41%E +0.321%K +0.415%G +0.006%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:29
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +1.41%E +0.321%K +0.415%G +0.006%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.97%E -8.52%K -58.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 00:54
Pinnacle4.35I 22.99%NM 22.46%EV +0.258%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54%EV -3.04%E -2.41%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Coolbet4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +0.258%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 00:54
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.203%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:30
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.894%E -0.208%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 00:55
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.894%E -0.208%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:51
1xBet4.29I 23.31%NM 22.56%EV -1.12%E -0.262%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.44%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-09 00:30
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.05%E -0.482%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 00:26
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.05%E -0.482%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 00:30
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.05%E -0.482%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 00:54
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:54
NordicBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:54
Betsson4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:54
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:55
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:55
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.12%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:30
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.12%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:30
Fanatics4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.35%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:55
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -4.35%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 00:54
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 00:55
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 00:54
Betr (AU)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.66%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 00:54
Fliff4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.66%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 00:55
DraftKings4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -7.12%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -3.04%E -2.41%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 00:30
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 00:29
GTbets4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:55
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:30
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:29
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Bally Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.42%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 00:29
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.42%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 00:29
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.42%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:29
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 00:30
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 00:30
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.72%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:30
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.72%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:30
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -17.03%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.732%E -0.567%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 00:29
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -17.03%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.04%E -2.41%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 00:28
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-03-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Novig4.39I 22.78%NM 22.30%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.70%2.1%2026-03-09 00:29
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-03-09 00:30