La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Gabriel Diallo v Felix Auger-Aliassime
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gabriel Diallo (Local)
Predicción 23.05%4.34momio equitativo
EV +2.56%
Ventaja +0.576%
Kelly +0.743%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.01%23.28%22.93%26.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.034.004.4527.78%24.83%25.00%22.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visitante)
Predicción 76.95%1.30momio equitativo
EV -0.732%
Ventaja -0.567%
Kelly -2.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.62%76.72%77.07%78.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.251.251.2985.47%80.24%80.00%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +2.56%E +0.576%K +0.743%G +0.019% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:29 |
| FanDuel | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +1.41%E +0.321%K +0.415%G +0.006% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 00:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +1.41%E +0.321%K +0.415%G +0.006% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.97%E -8.52%K -58.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Pinnacle | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.46%EV +0.258%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54%EV -3.04%E -2.41%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Coolbet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +0.258%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.203%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.894%E -0.208%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.894%E -0.208%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:51 |
| 1xBet | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.56%EV -1.12%E -0.262%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.44%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Bovada | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.05%E -0.482%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 00:26 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.05%E -0.482%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.05%E -0.482%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| NordicBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Betsson | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.12%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.12%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Fanatics | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.35%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -4.35%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Bet Right | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| theScore Bet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.66%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Fliff | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.66%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -7.12%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -3.04%E -2.41%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 00:29 |
| GTbets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 00:29 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Unibet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Casumo | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Bally Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| betPARX | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.42%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 00:29 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.42%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 00:29 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.42%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 00:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Coral | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.72%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Neds | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.72%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -17.03%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.732%E -0.567%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 00:29 |
| Caesars | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -17.03%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.04%E -2.41%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 00:28 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Novig | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.30% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.70% | 2.1% | 2026-03-09 00:29 |
| Smarkets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |