L’École des cotes

Gabriel Diallo v Felix Auger-Aliassime

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-09 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gabriel Diallo (Local)

Prévision 23.05%4.34cote équitable
EV +2.56%
Avantage +0.576%
Kelly +0.743%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.01%23.28%22.93%26.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.034.004.4527.78%24.83%25.00%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visiteur)

Prévision 76.95%1.30cote équitable
EV -0.732%
Avantage -0.567%
Kelly -2.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.62%76.72%77.07%78.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.251.251.2985.47%80.24%80.00%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +2.56%E +0.576%K +0.743%G +0.019%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:29
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +1.41%E +0.321%K +0.415%G +0.006%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:29
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +1.41%E +0.321%K +0.415%G +0.006%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.97%E -8.52%K -58.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-09 00:54
Pinnacle4.35I 22.99%NM 22.46%EV +0.258%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54%EV -3.04%E -2.41%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Coolbet4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +0.258%E +0.059%K +0.077%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-09 00:54
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.203%E -0.047%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:30
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.894%E -0.208%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-09 00:55
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.894%E -0.208%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:51
1xBet4.29I 23.31%NM 22.56%EV -1.12%E -0.262%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.44%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-09 00:30
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.05%E -0.482%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 00:26
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.05%E -0.482%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 00:30
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.05%E -0.482%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 00:54
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:54
NordicBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:54
Betsson4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:54
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:55
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.20%E -0.762%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:55
LowVig.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.12%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:30
BetOnline.ag4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.12%E -0.991%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:30
Fanatics4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.35%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-09 00:55
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -4.35%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
theScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 00:54
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 00:55
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.50%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 00:54
Betr (AU)4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.66%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.35%E -4.35%K -23.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 00:54
Fliff4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.66%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 00:55
DraftKings4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -7.12%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -3.04%E -2.41%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 00:30
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 00:29
GTbets4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:55
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:30
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:30
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.81%E -1.95%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:29
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Bally Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.11%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.27%E -1.79%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 00:30
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.42%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 00:29
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.42%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 00:29
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.42%E -3.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.58%E -3.69%K -19.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:29
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 00:30
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 00:30
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.57%E -3.62%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.12%E -5.02%K -27.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.72%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:30
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -14.72%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.81%E -3.05%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:30
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -17.03%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -0.732%E -0.567%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 00:29
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -17.03%E -4.73%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.04%E -2.41%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 00:28
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%1.1%2026-03-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%1.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Novig4.39I 22.78%NM 22.30%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.70%2.1%2026-03-09 00:29
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-03-09 00:30