StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Francisco Cerundolo v Jack Draper

Matchstart: 2026-03-09 20:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Francisco Cerundolo (Hemma)

Prognos 36.90%2.71rättvist odds
EV +1.48%
Fördel +0.540%
Kelly +0.848%
Tillväxt +0.013%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.47%36.99%36.90%39.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.382.522.502.7542.02%39.69%40.00%36.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jack Draper (Borta)

Prognos 63.10%1.58rättvist odds
EV +0.324%
Fördel +0.204%
Kelly +0.549%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.59

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
60.25%63.01%63.10%65.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.421.511.511.5970.42%66.25%66.23%62.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Francisco Cerundolo (Hemma): 36.90%; Jack Draper (Borta): 63.10%. För Francisco Cerundolo (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.71. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.75, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.48%.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.48%E +0.540%K +0.848%G +0.013%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:00
Pinnacle🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.361%E -0.134%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-09 20:15
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -0.361%E -0.134%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.40%E -7.33%K -24.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 20:25
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.10%E -0.410%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.99%E -4.02%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 20:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.21%E -0.833%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 20:25
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.21%E -0.833%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 20:24
DraftKings🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -2.58%E -0.976%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:25
GTbets🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 20:15
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 20:25
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 20:24
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 20:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 20:25
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 20:24
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.79%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 20:15
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 20:08
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 20:21
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:24
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:25
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:00
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 19:34
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 19:34
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 20:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 20:15
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 20:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 20:21
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 19:59
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 20:25
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 20:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 20:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 19:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-09 20:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -8.11%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV +0.324%E +0.204%K +0.549%G +0.002%3.1%2026-03-09 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -8.11%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV +0.324%E +0.204%K +0.549%G +0.002%3.1%2026-03-09 20:00
BetUS🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -8.11%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:15
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:15
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:14
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 20:00
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -9.59%E -3.91%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -6.62%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 20:25
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.59%E -3.91%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-09 20:20
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 20:15
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 20:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 20:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 19:34
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 19:34
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 20:15
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.17%E -5.11%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.938%E -0.597%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 19:35
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.17%E -5.11%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -12.17%E -5.11%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 20:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-03-09 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-03-09 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-03-09 20:25
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-03-09 20:25
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-03-09 20:15
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%3.0%2026-03-09 20:20