Langue:Français
Francisco Cerundolo v Jack Draper
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Prévision 36.90%2.71cote équitable
EV +1.48%
Avantage +0.540%
Kelly +0.848%
Croissance +0.013%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.47%36.99%36.90%39.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.522.502.7542.02%39.69%40.00%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Jack Draper (Visiteur)
Prévision 63.10%1.58cote équitable
EV +0.324%
Avantage +0.204%
Kelly +0.549%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 1.59
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.25%63.01%63.10%65.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.511.511.5970.42%66.25%66.23%62.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Francisco Cerundolo (Local) : 36.90% ; Jack Draper (Visiteur) : 63.10%. Pour Francisco Cerundolo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.71. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.75, soit une espérance positive de +1.48%.
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.48%E +0.540%K +0.848%G +0.013% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.361%E -0.134%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -0.361%E -0.134%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.40%E -7.33%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.10%E -0.410%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.99%E -4.02%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.21%E -0.833%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.21%E -0.833%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -2.58%E -0.976%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.79%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 20:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 20:21 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 20:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 20:21 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 19:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -8.11%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV +0.324%E +0.204%K +0.549%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -8.11%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV +0.324%E +0.204%K +0.549%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -8.11%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 19:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 20:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -9.59%E -3.91%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -6.62%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.59%E -3.91%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-09 20:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 20:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.17%E -5.11%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.938%E -0.597%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.17%E -5.11%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -12.17%E -5.11%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Novig◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.6% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 20:20 |