مدرسة الاحتمالات

Francisco Cerundolo v Jack Draper

البداية: 2026-03-09 20:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.90%2.71السعر العادل
EV +1.48%
الأفضلية +0.540%
Kelly +0.848%
النمو +0.013%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.47%36.99%36.90%39.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.522.502.7542.02%39.69%40.00%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jack Draper (الضيف)

التنبؤ 63.10%1.58السعر العادل
EV +0.324%
الأفضلية +0.204%
Kelly +0.549%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.25%63.01%63.10%65.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.421.511.511.5970.42%66.25%66.23%62.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.48%E +0.540%K +0.848%G +0.013%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:00
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.361%E -0.134%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-09 20:15
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -0.361%E -0.134%K -0.213%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.40%E -7.33%K -24.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 20:25
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.10%E -0.410%K -0.654%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.99%E -4.02%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 20:25
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.21%E -0.833%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 20:25
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.21%E -0.833%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 20:24
DraftKings2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -2.58%E -0.976%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:25
GTbets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 20:15
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 20:25
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 20:24
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 20:25
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 20:25
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 20:24
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 20:25
Marathon Bet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.79%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 20:15
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 20:08
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 20:21
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:24
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:24
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:25
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 20:00
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 19:34
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 19:34
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 20:19
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 20:15
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 20:25
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 20:21
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 19:59
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 20:25
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 20:25
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 20:25
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-09 19:35
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-09 20:24
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -8.11%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV +0.324%E +0.204%K +0.549%G +0.002%3.1%2026-03-09 20:00
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -8.11%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV +0.324%E +0.204%K +0.549%G +0.002%3.1%2026-03-09 20:00
BetUS2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -8.11%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 19:29
Unibet (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 20:09
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:15
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:15
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:15
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:14
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:15
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:15
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 20:15
Codere (IT)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 20:00
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -9.59%E -3.91%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -6.62%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-09 20:25
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.59%E -3.91%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-09 20:20
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-09 20:15
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 19:35
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 20:15
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 20:15
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 20:08
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 19:34
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 19:34
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 20:15
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.17%E -5.11%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.938%E -0.597%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 19:35
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.17%E -5.11%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -12.17%E -5.11%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-09 20:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-03-09 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-03-09 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-03-09 20:25
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%0.6%2026-03-09 20:25
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-03-09 20:15
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%3.0%2026-03-09 20:20