La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Francisco Cerundolo v Jack Draper
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Predicción 36.90%2.71momio equitativo
EV +1.48%
Ventaja +0.540%
Kelly +0.848%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.47%36.99%36.90%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.522.502.7542.02%39.69%40.00%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jack Draper (Visitante)
Predicción 63.10%1.58momio equitativo
EV +0.324%
Ventaja +0.204%
Kelly +0.549%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%63.01%63.10%65.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.511.511.5970.42%66.25%66.23%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.48%E +0.540%K +0.848%G +0.013% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.361%E -0.134%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -0.361%E -0.134%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.40%E -7.33%K -24.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.10%E -0.410%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.99%E -4.02%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.21%E -0.833%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.21%E -0.833%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -2.58%E -0.976%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| GTbets | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.14%E -6.35%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.05%E -1.56%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.79%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 20:08 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 20:21 |
| Betsson | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.90%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Bally Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 20:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 20:21 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 19:59 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.25%E -4.93%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -7.74%E -3.10%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -9.77%E -6.83%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -8.11%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV +0.324%E +0.204%K +0.549%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -8.11%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV +0.324%E +0.204%K +0.549%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| BetUS | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -8.11%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 19:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.20%E -1.42%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 20:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:14 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.83%E -1.84%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -8.48%E -3.42%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 20:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -9.59%E -3.91%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -6.62%E -4.47%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Fliff | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.59%E -3.91%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.51%E -5.87%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-09 20:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -10.33%E -4.25%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -4.72%E -3.13%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.57%E -1.01%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 20:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.09%E -2.69%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 19:34 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.43%E -4.76%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.17%E -5.11%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.938%E -0.597%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 19:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.17%E -5.11%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.46%E -2.26%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 20:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -12.17%E -5.11%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.35%E -3.57%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 0.4% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 0.6% | 2026-03-09 20:25 |
| Novig | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15% | 2.6% | 2026-03-09 20:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 20:20 |