Szkoła Kursów

Francisco Cerundolo v Benjamin Bonzi

Początek: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 68.50%1.46kurs godziwy
EV +2.75%
Przewaga +1.84%
Kelly +5.51%
Wzrost +0.152%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
62.50%68.39%68.81%74.95%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.371.361.5081.97%72.90%73.53%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Benjamin Bonzi (Goście)

Prognoza 31.50%3.17kurs godziwy
EV +14.97%
Przewaga +4.10%
Kelly +5.65%
Wzrost +0.845%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.05%31.61%31.19%37.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.503.023.003.6540.00%33.15%33.33%27.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -16.43%E -13.46%K -74.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV +14.97%E +4.10%K +5.65%G +0.845%9.4%2026-03-07 19:12
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -10.95%E -8.42%K -36.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +8.67%E +2.51%K +3.54%G +0.307%5.9%2026-03-07 19:09
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -12.32%E -9.62%K -43.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +8.67%E +2.51%K +3.54%G +0.307%7.1%2026-03-07 19:09
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -11.63%E -9.02%K -40.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +7.09%E +2.09%K +2.95%G +0.210%6.9%2026-03-06 15:49
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV +4.89%E +1.47%K +2.10%G +0.102%3.0%2026-03-07 19:14
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV +4.57%E +1.38%K +1.97%G +0.090%5.3%2026-03-07 18:49
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +3.94%E +1.19%K +1.71%G +0.068%4.9%2026-03-07 01:35
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +3.94%E +1.19%K +1.71%G +0.068%4.9%2026-03-07 01:35
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.94%E +1.19%K +1.71%G +0.068%5.5%2026-03-07 11:04
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.37%E +0.728%K +1.05%G +0.025%4.3%2026-03-07 17:34
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.37%E +0.728%K +1.05%G +0.025%4.3%2026-03-07 17:34
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +2.37%E +0.728%K +1.05%G +0.025%5.4%2026-03-07 17:19
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV +2.05%E +0.633%K +0.916%G +0.019%5.5%2026-03-07 19:02
Betr (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +0.792%E +0.248%K +0.360%G +0.003%5.9%2026-03-07 18:50
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.783%E -0.248%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 19:14
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -0.783%E -0.248%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 18:49
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.10%E -0.350%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:04
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:04
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:14
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 18:44
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:19
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:19
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:19
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 18:54
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:19
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:15
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 09:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 09:25
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:20
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:20
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:20
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:20
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:19
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.29%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.29%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:19
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.23%E -3.59%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 19:08
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.23%E -3.59%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.81%E -4.22%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.81%E -4.22%K -6.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:20
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:19
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:19
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV +1.38%E +0.935%K +2.88%G +0.040%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 19:19
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.671%E -0.463%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:20
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.04%E -1.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.73%E -1.92%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -2.73%E -1.92%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -18.11%E -6.96%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:20
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV +2.07%E +1.39%K +4.22%G +0.087%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -18.42%E -7.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 19:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +2.75%E +1.84%K +5.51%G +0.152%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -21.26%E -8.50%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-03-07 19:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.8%2026-03-07 19:20
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-03-07 19:20
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%2.7%2026-03-07 19:20
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%6.2%2026-03-07 19:19