مدرسة الاحتمالات

Francisco Cerundolo v Benjamin Bonzi

البداية: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.50%1.46السعر العادل
EV +2.75%
الأفضلية +1.84%
Kelly +5.51%
النمو +0.152%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.50%68.39%68.81%74.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.221.371.361.5081.97%72.90%73.53%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Benjamin Bonzi (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.50%3.17السعر العادل
EV +14.97%
الأفضلية +4.10%
Kelly +5.65%
النمو +0.845%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.05%31.61%31.19%37.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.503.023.003.6540.00%33.15%33.33%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -16.43%E -13.46%K -74.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV +14.97%E +4.10%K +5.65%G +0.845%9.4%2026-03-07 19:12
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -10.95%E -8.42%K -36.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +8.67%E +2.51%K +3.54%G +0.307%5.9%2026-03-07 19:09
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -12.32%E -9.62%K -43.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +8.67%E +2.51%K +3.54%G +0.307%7.1%2026-03-07 19:09
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -11.63%E -9.02%K -40.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +7.09%E +2.09%K +2.95%G +0.210%6.9%2026-03-06 15:49
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV +4.89%E +1.47%K +2.10%G +0.102%3.0%2026-03-07 19:14
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV +4.57%E +1.38%K +1.97%G +0.090%5.3%2026-03-07 18:49
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +3.94%E +1.19%K +1.71%G +0.068%4.9%2026-03-07 01:35
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +3.94%E +1.19%K +1.71%G +0.068%4.9%2026-03-07 01:35
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.94%E +1.19%K +1.71%G +0.068%5.5%2026-03-07 11:04
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.37%E +0.728%K +1.05%G +0.025%4.3%2026-03-07 17:34
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.37%E +0.728%K +1.05%G +0.025%4.3%2026-03-07 17:34
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +2.37%E +0.728%K +1.05%G +0.025%5.4%2026-03-07 17:19
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV +2.05%E +0.633%K +0.916%G +0.019%5.5%2026-03-07 19:02
Betr (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +0.792%E +0.248%K +0.360%G +0.003%5.9%2026-03-07 18:50
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.783%E -0.248%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 19:14
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -0.783%E -0.248%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 18:49
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.10%E -0.350%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:04
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:04
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:14
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 18:44
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:19
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:19
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:19
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 18:54
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:19
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:15
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 09:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 09:25
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:20
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:20
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:20
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:20
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:19
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.29%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.29%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:19
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.23%E -3.59%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 19:08
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.23%E -3.59%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.81%E -4.22%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.81%E -4.22%K -6.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:20
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:19
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:19
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV +1.38%E +0.935%K +2.88%G +0.040%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 19:19
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.671%E -0.463%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:20
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.04%E -1.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.73%E -1.92%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -2.73%E -1.92%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -18.11%E -6.96%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:20
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV +2.07%E +1.39%K +4.22%G +0.087%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -18.42%E -7.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 19:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +2.75%E +1.84%K +5.51%G +0.152%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -21.26%E -8.50%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-03-07 19:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.8%2026-03-07 19:20
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-03-07 19:20
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%2.7%2026-03-07 19:20
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%6.2%2026-03-07 19:19