La scuola delle quote

Francisco Cerundolo v Benjamin Bonzi

Inizio: 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Casa)

Previsione 68.50%1.46quota equa
EV +2.75%
Vantaggio +1.84%
Kelly +5.51%
Crescita +0.152%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.50%68.39%68.81%74.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.371.361.5081.97%72.90%73.53%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Benjamin Bonzi (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.50%3.17quota equa
EV +14.97%
Vantaggio +4.10%
Kelly +5.65%
Crescita +0.845%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.05%31.61%31.19%37.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.503.023.003.6540.00%33.15%33.33%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -16.43%E -13.46%K -74.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV +14.97%E +4.10%K +5.65%G +0.845%9.4%2026-03-07 19:12
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -10.95%E -8.42%K -36.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +8.67%E +2.51%K +3.54%G +0.307%5.9%2026-03-07 19:09
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -12.32%E -9.62%K -43.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +8.67%E +2.51%K +3.54%G +0.307%7.1%2026-03-07 19:09
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -11.63%E -9.02%K -40.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +7.09%E +2.09%K +2.95%G +0.210%6.9%2026-03-06 15:49
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV +4.89%E +1.47%K +2.10%G +0.102%3.0%2026-03-07 19:14
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV +4.57%E +1.38%K +1.97%G +0.090%5.3%2026-03-07 18:49
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +3.94%E +1.19%K +1.71%G +0.068%4.9%2026-03-07 01:35
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +3.94%E +1.19%K +1.71%G +0.068%4.9%2026-03-07 01:35
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.94%E +1.19%K +1.71%G +0.068%5.5%2026-03-07 11:04
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.37%E +0.728%K +1.05%G +0.025%4.3%2026-03-07 17:34
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.37%E +0.728%K +1.05%G +0.025%4.3%2026-03-07 17:34
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +2.37%E +0.728%K +1.05%G +0.025%5.4%2026-03-07 17:19
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV +2.05%E +0.633%K +0.916%G +0.019%5.5%2026-03-07 19:02
Betr (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +0.792%E +0.248%K +0.360%G +0.003%5.9%2026-03-07 18:50
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.783%E -0.248%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 19:14
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -0.783%E -0.248%K -0.364%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 18:49
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.10%E -0.350%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 19:04
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:04
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:14
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 18:44
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:19
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:19
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:19
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 18:54
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:19
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:19
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 19:20
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:15
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 09:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 09:25
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 19:20
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:19
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:20
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:20
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:20
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:19
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.29%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:20
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.29%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 19:19
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.23%E -3.59%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 19:08
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.23%E -3.59%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.81%E -4.22%K -6.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.81%E -4.22%K -6.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:20
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:19
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:19
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:19
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV +1.38%E +0.935%K +2.88%G +0.040%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 19:19
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.671%E -0.463%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:20
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.04%E -1.43%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.73%E -1.92%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -2.73%E -1.92%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -18.11%E -6.96%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 19:20
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV +2.07%E +1.39%K +4.22%G +0.087%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -18.42%E -7.11%K -11.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 19:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +2.75%E +1.84%K +5.51%G +0.152%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -21.26%E -8.50%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 19:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-07 19:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-03-07 19:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.8%2026-03-07 19:20
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-03-07 19:20
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%2.7%2026-03-07 19:20
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25%6.2%2026-03-07 19:19