La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Francisco Cerundolo v Benjamin Bonzi
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Predicción 68.50%1.46momio equitativo
EV +2.75%
Ventaja +1.84%
Kelly +5.51%
Crecimiento +0.152%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%68.39%68.81%74.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.371.361.5081.97%72.90%73.53%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Benjamin Bonzi (Visitante)
Predicción 31.50%3.17momio equitativo
EV +14.97%
Ventaja +4.10%
Kelly +5.65%
Crecimiento +0.845%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.05%31.61%31.19%37.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.503.023.003.6540.00%33.15%33.33%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -16.43%E -13.46%K -74.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV +14.97%E +4.10%K +5.65%G +0.845% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 19:12 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -10.95%E -8.42%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +8.67%E +2.51%K +3.54%G +0.307% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -12.32%E -9.62%K -43.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV +8.67%E +2.51%K +3.54%G +0.307% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -11.63%E -9.02%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +7.09%E +2.09%K +2.95%G +0.210% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 15:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV +4.89%E +1.47%K +2.10%G +0.102% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV +4.57%E +1.38%K +1.97%G +0.090% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +3.94%E +1.19%K +1.71%G +0.068% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 01:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +3.94%E +1.19%K +1.71%G +0.068% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 01:35 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +3.94%E +1.19%K +1.71%G +0.068% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 11:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.37%E +0.728%K +1.05%G +0.025% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +2.37%E +0.728%K +1.05%G +0.025% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 17:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +2.37%E +0.728%K +1.05%G +0.025% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 17:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV +2.05%E +0.633%K +0.916%G +0.019% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 19:02 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV +0.792%E +0.248%K +0.360%G +0.003% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.783%E -0.248%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.21%E -6.12%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -0.783%E -0.248%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| GTbets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.10%E -0.350%K -0.513%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 19:04 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 19:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.36%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:14 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.15%E -4.49%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.93%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 17:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 19:15 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 09:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 09:25 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.52%E -5.57%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Fliff | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.89%E -6.69%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.08%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.47%E -3.96%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.29%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.29%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.23%E -3.59%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 19:08 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.23%E -3.59%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.81%E -4.22%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.84%E -5.03%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.81%E -4.22%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.10%E -2.93%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.38%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV +1.38%E +0.935%K +2.88%G +0.040% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.671%E -0.463%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -2.04%E -1.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.73%E -1.92%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -2.73%E -1.92%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -18.11%E -6.96%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV +2.07%E +1.39%K +4.22%G +0.087% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -18.42%E -7.11%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +2.75%E +1.84%K +5.51%G +0.152% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -21.26%E -8.50%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 19:20 |
| Novig | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.75% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.25% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 19:19 |