A Escola das Odds

Flavio Cobolli v Frances Tiafoe

Início: 2026-03-09 01:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Previsão 44.82%2.23odd justa
EV +3.08%
Vantagem +1.34%
Kelly +2.37%
Crescimento +0.073%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.62%44.58%44.88%46.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.132.122.3050.00%47.03%47.17%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)

Previsão 55.18%1.81odd justa
EV -2.88%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -3.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.76%55.42%55.12%58.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.721.721.7661.73%58.31%58.14%56.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +3.08%E +1.34%K +2.37%G +0.073%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -9.50%E -5.79%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:54
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.838%E +0.373%K +0.671%G +0.006%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.60%E -6.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 00:54
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.058%E -0.026%K -0.047%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-09 00:55
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-09 00:54
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.74%E -3.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:54
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:40
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 00:55
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:39
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:39
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:15
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.95%E -5.42%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 00:55
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.30%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:55
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.20%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 00:54
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 00:51
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.74%E -3.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 00:54
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.09%E -1.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:55
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.09%E -1.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:55
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.54%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:54
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.54%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:55
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:54
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:54
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:54
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:54
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:54
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 11:34
Unibet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:55
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 00:54
Betsson2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.44%E -2.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 21:30
Unibet (UK)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.44%E -2.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 21:30
NordicBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.44%E -2.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 21:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.88%E -1.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 21:30
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 21:30
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 21:29
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 11:34
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 11:34
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 14:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 10:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:48
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 00:54
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 00:54
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 00:48
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.74%E -3.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 00:55
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 00:54
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.33%E -3.03%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 21:30
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.23%E -3.49%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 21:39
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -7.68%E -3.73%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:54
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 10:09
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 10:10
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 10:10
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.37%E -5.18%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 21:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-03-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-03-09 00:30
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-03-09 00:55
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-03-09 00:55