Die Wettquotenschule

Flavio Cobolli v Frances Tiafoe

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-09 01:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Heim)

Prognose 44.82%2.23faire Quote
EV +3.08%
Vorteil +1.34%
Kelly +2.37%
Wachstum +0.073%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.62%44.58%44.88%46.24%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.002.132.122.3050.00%47.03%47.17%43.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Frances Tiafoe (Auswärts)

Prognose 55.18%1.81faire Quote
EV -2.88%
Vorteil -1.64%
Kelly -3.79%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.76

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.76%55.42%55.12%58.38%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.621.721.721.7661.73%58.31%58.14%56.82%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +3.08%E +1.34%K +2.37%G +0.073%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -9.50%E -5.79%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:54
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.838%E +0.373%K +0.671%G +0.006%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.60%E -6.55%K -17.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 00:54
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.058%E -0.026%K -0.047%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-09 00:55
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-09 00:54
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.74%E -3.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:54
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:40
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 00:55
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:39
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:39
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:15
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.95%E -5.42%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 00:55
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.30%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 00:55
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.20%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 00:54
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 00:51
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.74%E -3.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 00:54
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.09%E -1.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:55
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.09%E -1.91%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 00:55
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.54%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:54
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.54%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 00:55
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:54
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:54
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:54
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:54
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:54
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 00:55
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 11:34
Unibet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 00:55
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 00:54
Betsson2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.44%E -2.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 21:30
Unibet (UK)2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.44%E -2.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 21:30
NordicBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.44%E -2.58%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 21:30
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.88%E -1.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 21:30
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 21:30
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 21:29
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 11:34
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 11:34
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 14:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 10:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:48
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-09 00:54
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 00:54
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 00:48
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.74%E -3.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 00:55
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 00:54
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.33%E -3.03%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 21:30
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.23%E -3.49%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 21:39
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -7.68%E -3.73%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 00:54
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 10:09
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 10:10
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 10:10
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.37%E -5.18%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 21:49
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%0.3%2026-03-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-03-09 00:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-03-09 00:30
Novig2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%1.2%2026-03-09 00:55
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-03-09 00:55