Idioma:Español
Flavio Cobolli v Frances Tiafoe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Predicción 44.82%2.23momio equitativo
EV +3.08%
Ventaja +1.34%
Kelly +2.37%
Crecimiento +0.073%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.62%44.58%44.88%46.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.122.3050.00%47.03%47.17%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visitante)
Predicción 55.18%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -3.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.76%55.42%55.12%58.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.721.721.7661.73%58.31%58.14%56.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 44.82%; Frances Tiafoe (Visitante): 55.18%. Para Flavio Cobolli (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.23. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.08%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +3.08%E +1.34%K +2.37%G +0.073% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -9.50%E -5.79%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.838%E +0.373%K +0.671%G +0.006% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.60%E -6.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.058%E -0.026%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.74%E -3.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 17:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.95%E -5.42%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.30%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.20%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 00:51 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.74%E -3.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.09%E -1.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.09%E -1.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.54%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.54%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 11:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.44%E -2.58%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.44%E -2.58%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.44%E -2.58%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.88%E -1.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 11:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 11:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 10:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 14:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 00:48 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.74%E -3.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.33%E -3.03%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.23%E -3.49%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 21:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -7.68%E -3.73%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 10:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 10:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.37%E -5.18%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 1.2% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.3% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |