La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Flavio Cobolli v Frances Tiafoe
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Flavio Cobolli (Casa)
Previsione 44.82%2.23quota equa
EV +3.08%
Vantaggio +1.34%
Kelly +2.37%
Crescita +0.073%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.62%44.58%44.88%46.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.132.122.3050.00%47.03%47.17%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Frances Tiafoe (Trasferta)
Previsione 55.18%1.81quota equa
EV -2.88%
Vantaggio -1.64%
Kelly -3.79%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.76
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.76%55.42%55.12%58.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.721.721.7661.73%58.31%58.14%56.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +3.08%E +1.34%K +2.37%G +0.073% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -9.50%E -5.79%K -14.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.838%E +0.373%K +0.671%G +0.006% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.60%E -6.55%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.058%E -0.026%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.74%E -3.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 17:39 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:15 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.40%E -0.638%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.95%E -5.42%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.30%E -1.05%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.20%E -1.48%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.43%E -1.96%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 00:51 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.74%E -3.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.09%E -1.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.09%E -1.91%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.54%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| GTbets | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.54%E -2.13%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Bally Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 11:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.99%E -2.35%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Betsson | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.44%E -2.58%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.44%E -2.58%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.44%E -2.58%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -2.88%E -1.64%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 21:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 11:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.53%E -2.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 11:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 10:10 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 14:48 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 00:48 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.74%E -3.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.88%E -2.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.84%E -4.70%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.33%E -3.03%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.23%E -3.49%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 21:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -7.68%E -3.73%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -5.64%E -3.30%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 00:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.98%E -2.29%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 10:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 10:09 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 10:10 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.13%E -3.96%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.19%E -3.64%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.37%E -5.18%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.09%E -2.96%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 21:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Novig | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 1.2% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.3% | 2026-03-09 00:55 |