The School of Odds

Daniel Altmaier v Miomir Kecmanovic

Matchstart: 2026-03-04 21:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (Hemma)

Prognos 19.35%5.17rättvist odds
EV +16.11%
Fördel +2.68%
Kelly +3.22%
Tillväxt +0.519%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.73%19.52%19.09%24.30%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.804.684.606.0026.32%21.39%21.74%16.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Miomir Kecmanovic (Borta)

Prognos 80.65%1.24rättvist odds
EV +1.62%
Fördel +1.28%
Kelly +6.22%
Tillväxt +0.101%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.26

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.70%80.48%80.91%84.27%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.121.181.191.2689.29%84.57%84.03%79.37%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +16.11%E +2.68%K +3.22%G +0.519%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.67%E -8.64%K -80.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 20:25
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.27%E +1.96%K +2.37%G +0.267%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:25
DraftKings5.74I 17.42%NM 16.69%EV +11.08%E +1.93%K +2.34%G +0.259%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.31%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 20:25
Betsson5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +8.37%E +1.49%K +1.82%G +0.152%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 20:25
NordicBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.43%E +1.17%K +1.43%G +0.092%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 20:25
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +6.43%E +1.17%K +1.43%G +0.092%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.87%E -7.85%K -68.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 20:25
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +6.43%E +1.17%K +1.43%G +0.092%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.67%E -8.64%K -80.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 20:25
Winamax (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.56%E +0.483%K +0.596%G +0.015%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 20:25
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.59%E +0.303%K +0.375%G +0.006%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 20:25
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.59%E +0.303%K +0.375%G +0.006%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 20:25
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.31%E -0.257%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 20:20
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 20:22
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 20:24
FanDuel5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 20:20
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:19
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 20:25
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 20:25
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 20:25
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 20:25
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:25
betPARX4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:25
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:25
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:25
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:25
Betclic (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -9.05%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -8.87%E -7.85%K -68.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 20:23
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:09
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:07
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:25
Fliff4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 20:25
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:25
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:25
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 20:25
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.41%E -2.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:25
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.41%E -2.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:25
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.41%E -2.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:25
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 20:01
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.45%E -5.56%K -40.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 20:25
GTbets4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -15.24%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 20:02
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -17.37%E -4.07%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -0.802%E -0.652%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 20:06
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -17.37%E -4.07%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -0.802%E -0.652%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 20:07
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -17.76%E -4.18%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -0.802%E -0.652%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 20:03
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -17.76%E -4.18%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 20:25
Pinnacle4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91%EV -17.95%E -4.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09%EV +1.62%E +1.28%K +6.22%G +0.101%2.9%2026-03-04 20:13
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:07
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:02
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 20:25
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:00
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 20:07
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -19.69%E -4.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 20:03
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -20.66%E -5.04%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV +0.005%E +0.004%K +0.019%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 20:07
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.60%E -5.65%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:21
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.60%E -5.65%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:25
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.60%E -5.65%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -26.47%E -6.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 20:03
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -26.47%E -6.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 20:03
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-03-04 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-03-04 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%2.9%2026-03-04 20:25
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%3.3%2026-03-04 20:25