L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Daniel Altmaier v Miomir Kecmanovic
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Prévision 19.35%5.17cote équitable
EV +16.11%
Avantage +2.68%
Kelly +3.22%
Croissance +0.519%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.73%19.52%19.09%24.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.684.606.0026.32%21.39%21.74%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Miomir Kecmanovic (Visiteur)
Prévision 80.65%1.24cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +6.22%
Croissance +0.101%
avec la cote maximale 1.26
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.70%80.48%80.91%84.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.181.191.2689.29%84.57%84.03%79.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +16.11%E +2.68%K +3.22%G +0.519% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.67%E -8.64%K -80.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.27%E +1.96%K +2.37%G +0.267% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| DraftKings | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.69%EV +11.08%E +1.93%K +2.34%G +0.259% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.31%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Betsson | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +8.37%E +1.49%K +1.82%G +0.152% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| NordicBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.43%E +1.17%K +1.43%G +0.092% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| theScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +6.43%E +1.17%K +1.43%G +0.092% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.87%E -7.85%K -68.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +6.43%E +1.17%K +1.43%G +0.092% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.67%E -8.64%K -80.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.56%E +0.483%K +0.596%G +0.015% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.59%E +0.303%K +0.375%G +0.006% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.59%E +0.303%K +0.375%G +0.006% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.31%E -0.257%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 20:20 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:22 |
| Coolbet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:24 |
| FanDuel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:20 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:19 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Casumo | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| betPARX | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -9.05%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -8.87%E -7.85%K -68.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 20:23 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:09 |
| Bally Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:07 |
| TABtouch | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Fliff | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| LeoVegas | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.41%E -2.00%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.41%E -2.00%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Unibet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.41%E -2.00%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.45%E -5.56%K -40.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| GTbets | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -15.24%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 20:02 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -17.37%E -4.07%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -0.802%E -0.652%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:06 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -17.37%E -4.07%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -0.802%E -0.652%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:07 |
| Bet Right | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -17.76%E -4.18%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -0.802%E -0.652%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 20:03 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -17.76%E -4.18%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91%EV -17.95%E -4.23%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09%EV +1.62%E +1.28%K +6.22%G +0.101% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 20:13 |
| PlayUp | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 20:07 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 20:02 |
| Caesars | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:00 |
| Fanatics | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 20:07 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -19.69%E -4.75%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:03 |
| SportsBet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -20.66%E -5.04%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV +0.005%E +0.004%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:07 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.60%E -5.65%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:21 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.60%E -5.65%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.60%E -5.65%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -26.47%E -6.96%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 20:03 |
| Neds | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -26.47%E -6.96%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 20:03 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Smarkets | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |