A Escola das Odds

Daniel Altmaier v Miomir Kecmanovic

Início: 2026-03-04 21:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (Local)

Previsão 19.35%5.17odd justa
EV +16.11%
Vantagem +2.68%
Kelly +3.22%
Crescimento +0.519%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.73%19.52%19.09%24.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.684.606.0026.32%21.39%21.74%16.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miomir Kecmanovic (Visitante)

Previsão 80.65%1.24odd justa
EV +1.62%
Vantagem +1.28%
Kelly +6.22%
Crescimento +0.101%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.70%80.48%80.91%84.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.181.191.2689.29%84.57%84.03%79.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +16.11%E +2.68%K +3.22%G +0.519%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.67%E -8.64%K -80.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 20:25
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.27%E +1.96%K +2.37%G +0.267%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:25
DraftKings5.74I 17.42%NM 16.69%EV +11.08%E +1.93%K +2.34%G +0.259%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.31%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 20:25
Betsson5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +8.37%E +1.49%K +1.82%G +0.152%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 20:25
NordicBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.43%E +1.17%K +1.43%G +0.092%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 20:25
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +6.43%E +1.17%K +1.43%G +0.092%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.87%E -7.85%K -68.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 20:25
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +6.43%E +1.17%K +1.43%G +0.092%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.67%E -8.64%K -80.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 20:25
Winamax (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.56%E +0.483%K +0.596%G +0.015%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 20:25
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.59%E +0.303%K +0.375%G +0.006%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 20:25
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.59%E +0.303%K +0.375%G +0.006%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 20:25
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.31%E -0.257%K -0.319%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 20:20
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 20:22
Coolbet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 20:24
FanDuel5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 20:20
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:19
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 20:25
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 20:25
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 20:25
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 20:25
Casumo4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:25
betPARX4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:25
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:25
Svenska Spel4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:25
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:25
Betclic (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -9.05%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -8.87%E -7.85%K -68.21%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 20:23
Unibet (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:09
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:07
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:25
Fliff4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 20:25
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:25
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:25
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 20:25
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.41%E -2.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:25
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.41%E -2.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:25
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.41%E -2.00%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:25
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 20:01
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.45%E -5.56%K -40.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 20:25
GTbets4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -15.24%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 20:02
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -17.37%E -4.07%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -0.802%E -0.652%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 20:06
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -17.37%E -4.07%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -0.802%E -0.652%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 20:07
Bet Right4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -17.76%E -4.18%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -0.802%E -0.652%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 20:03
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -17.76%E -4.18%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 20:25
Pinnacle4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91%EV -17.95%E -4.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09%EV +1.62%E +1.28%K +6.22%G +0.101%2.9%2026-03-04 20:13
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:07
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:02
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 20:25
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:00
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 20:07
Betr (AU)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -19.69%E -4.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 20:03
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -20.66%E -5.04%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV +0.005%E +0.004%K +0.019%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 20:07
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.60%E -5.65%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:21
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.60%E -5.65%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:25
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.60%E -5.65%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -26.47%E -6.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 20:03
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -26.47%E -6.96%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 20:03
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-03-04 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61%0.9%2026-03-04 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%2.9%2026-03-04 20:25
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%3.3%2026-03-04 20:25