Język:Polski
Daniel Altmaier v Miomir Kecmanovic
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Daniel Altmaier (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 19.35%5.17kurs godziwy
EV +16.11%
Przewaga +2.68%
Kelly +3.22%
Wzrost +0.519%
przy maksymalnym kursie 6.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.73%19.52%19.09%24.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.804.684.606.0026.32%21.39%21.74%16.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Miomir Kecmanovic (Goście)
Prognoza 80.65%1.24kurs godziwy
EV +1.62%
Przewaga +1.28%
Kelly +6.22%
Wzrost +0.101%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.26
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.70%80.48%80.91%84.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.121.181.191.2689.29%84.57%84.03%79.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Daniel Altmaier (Gospodarze): 19.35%; Miomir Kecmanovic (Goście): 80.65%. Dla wyniku Daniel Altmaier (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.17. 10 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +16.11%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +16.11%E +2.68%K +3.22%G +0.519% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -9.67%E -8.64%K -80.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +11.27%E +1.96%K +2.37%G +0.267% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.69%EV +11.08%E +1.93%K +2.34%G +0.259% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.31%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +8.37%E +1.49%K +1.82%G +0.152% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +6.43%E +1.17%K +1.43%G +0.092% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +6.43%E +1.17%K +1.43%G +0.092% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.87%E -7.85%K -68.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +6.43%E +1.17%K +1.43%G +0.092% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -9.67%E -8.64%K -80.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.56%E +0.483%K +0.596%G +0.015% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.59%E +0.303%K +0.375%G +0.006% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +1.59%E +0.303%K +0.375%G +0.006% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.31%E -0.257%K -0.319%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 20:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:22 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -3.24%E -0.649%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.06%E -7.07%K -57.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.08%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -9.05%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -8.87%E -7.85%K -68.21%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 20:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:07 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -10.99%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.25%E -6.31%K -48.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.92%E -2.87%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.64%E -4.82%K -33.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.41%E -2.00%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.41%E -2.00%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -2.41%E -2.00%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -14.86%E -3.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.45%E -5.56%K -40.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.79%EV -15.24%E -3.48%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.21%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 20:02 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -17.37%E -4.07%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -0.802%E -0.652%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:06 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -17.37%E -4.07%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -0.802%E -0.652%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 20:07 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -17.76%E -4.18%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -0.802%E -0.652%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 20:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -17.76%E -4.18%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.91%EV -17.95%E -4.23%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.09%EV +1.62%E +1.28%K +6.22%G +0.101% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 20:13 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 20:07 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 20:02 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.22%E -2.68%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -4.03%E -3.38%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -18.73%E -4.46%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.83%E -4.10%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 20:07 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -19.69%E -4.75%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 20:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -20.66%E -5.04%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV +0.005%E +0.004%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 20:07 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.60%E -5.65%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:21 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.60%E -5.65%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -22.60%E -5.65%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -26.47%E -6.96%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 20:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -26.47%E -6.96%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -1.61%E -1.32%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 20:03 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (4)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.61% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 20:25 |