语言:简体中文
Carlos Alcaraz v Arthur Rinderknech
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Carlos Alcaraz (主队)
预测 92.82%1.08公平赔率
EV -3.46%
优势 -3.33%
Kelly -86.62%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.04
博彩公司预测分布
89.64%92.87%92.72%95.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.021.021.04100.00%97.74%97.56%96.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
Arthur Rinderknech (客队)
预测 7.18%13.93公平赔率
EV +65.08%
优势 +2.83%
Kelly +2.96%
增长率 +1.93%
假设最高赔率为 23.00
博彩公司预测分布
4.25%7.13%7.28%10.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0013.5813.0023.0011.11%7.36%7.69%4.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Carlos Alcaraz (主队)：92.82%；Arthur Rinderknech (客队)：7.18%。 对于“Arthur Rinderknech (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为13.93。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为23.00，对应+65.08%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +65.08%E +2.83%K +2.96%G +1.93% | 2.4% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +50.73%E +2.42%K +2.54%G +1.29% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -7.18%E -7.18%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +50.73%E +2.42%K +2.54%G +1.29% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.31%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 20.92I 4.78%NM 4.69%EV +50.16%E +2.40%K +2.52%G +1.26% | 1.9% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +29.20%E +1.62%K +1.72%G +0.501% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.41%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 17.40I 5.75%NM 5.59%EV +24.89%E +1.43%K +1.52%G +0.378% | 2.8% | 2026-03-10 01:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +14.84%E +0.928%K +0.989%G +0.147% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 01:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +14.84%E +0.928%K +0.989%G +0.147% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 01:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +11.25%E +0.726%K +0.776%G +0.087% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 01:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +11.25%E +0.726%K +0.776%G +0.087% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +11.25%E +0.726%K +0.776%G +0.087% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 01:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.66%E +0.511%K +0.547%G +0.042% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 01:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +4.08%E +0.281%K +0.302%G +0.012% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 01:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +0.486%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +0.486%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.06%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 13.67I 7.32%NM 6.94%EV -1.88%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 01:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.55%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 12.80I 7.81%NM 7.45%EV -8.13%E -0.635%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.61%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 12.65I 7.91%NM 7.39%EV -9.20%E -0.728%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -10.28%E -0.822%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -10.28%E -0.822%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.24%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.76%EV -12.07%E -0.986%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 01:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 01:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 01:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 01:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 01:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.05%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.05%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.57%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.43%EV -29.66%E -3.03%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 01:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.46%E -3.33%K -86.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -35.40%E -3.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 01:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.40%E -3.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 01:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60% | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.29% | 20.83I 4.80%NM 4.71% | 1.9% | 2026-03-10 01:25 |