StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Carlos Alcaraz v Arthur Rinderknech

Matchstart: 2026-03-10 02:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Carlos Alcaraz (Hemma)

Prognos 92.82%1.08rättvist odds
EV -3.46%
Fördel -3.33%
Kelly -86.62%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
89.64%92.87%92.72%95.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.021.021.04100.00%97.74%97.56%96.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Borta)

Prognos 7.18%13.93rättvist odds
EV +65.08%
Fördel +2.83%
Kelly +2.96%
Tillväxt +1.93%

med antagandet om högsta odds 23.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
4.25%7.13%7.28%10.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.0013.5813.0023.0011.11%7.36%7.69%4.35%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Carlos Alcaraz (Hemma): 92.82%; Arthur Rinderknech (Borta): 7.18%. För Arthur Rinderknech (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 13.93. 15 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 23.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +65.08%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +65.08%E +2.83%K +2.96%G +1.93%2.4%2026-03-10 01:35
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +50.73%E +2.42%K +2.54%G +1.29%3.8%2026-03-10 01:34
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -7.18%E -7.18%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +50.73%E +2.42%K +2.54%G +1.29%4.8%2026-03-10 01:35
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 95.31%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%20.92I 4.78%NM 4.69%EV +50.16%E +2.40%K +2.52%G +1.26%1.9%2026-03-10 01:45
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +29.20%E +1.62%K +1.72%G +0.501%4.6%2026-03-10 01:45
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.41%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%17.40I 5.75%NM 5.59%EV +24.89%E +1.43%K +1.52%G +0.378%2.8%2026-03-10 01:44
Bovada🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +14.84%E +0.928%K +0.989%G +0.147%5.3%2026-03-10 01:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +14.84%E +0.928%K +0.989%G +0.147%5.3%2026-03-10 01:10
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +11.25%E +0.726%K +0.776%G +0.087%4.5%2026-03-10 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +11.25%E +0.726%K +0.776%G +0.087%4.5%2026-03-10 01:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +11.25%E +0.726%K +0.776%G +0.087%4.5%2026-03-10 01:44
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.66%E +0.511%K +0.547%G +0.042%3.8%2026-03-10 01:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +4.08%E +0.281%K +0.302%G +0.012%4.0%2026-03-10 01:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +0.486%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 01:09
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +0.486%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 01:09
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.06%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%13.67I 7.32%NM 6.94%EV -1.88%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 01:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:10
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:34
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:34
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:34
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:35
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 01:45
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 01:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 01:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 01:09
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 01:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.55%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.45%EV -8.13%E -0.635%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 01:45
Fliff🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.61%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%12.65I 7.91%NM 7.39%EV -9.20%E -0.728%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 01:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -10.28%E -0.822%K -0.894%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 01:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -10.28%E -0.822%K -0.894%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 01:09
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.24%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.76%EV -12.07%E -0.986%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 01:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 01:10
William Hill🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 01:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 01:25
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 01:35
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 01:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 01:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 01:35
Grosvenor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 01:34
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 01:24
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 01:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 01:35
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 01:35
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.05%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 01:09
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.05%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 01:45
Fanatics🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.57%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.43%EV -29.66%E -3.03%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 01:24
TAB🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.46%E -3.33%K -86.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -35.40%E -3.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.40%E -3.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 01:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43%0.5%2026-03-10 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43%0.5%2026-03-10 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43%0.5%2026-03-10 01:45
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%0.7%2026-03-10 01:45
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%28.99I 3.45%NM 3.40%1.5%2026-03-10 01:45
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 95.29%20.83I 4.80%NM 4.71%1.9%2026-03-10 01:25