Die Wettquotenschule

Carlos Alcaraz v Arthur Rinderknech

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-10 02:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Heim)

Prognose 92.82%1.08faire Quote
EV -3.46%
Vorteil -3.33%
Kelly -86.62%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.04

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
89.64%92.87%92.72%95.75%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.001.021.021.04100.00%97.74%97.56%96.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Arthur Rinderknech (Auswärts)

Prognose 7.18%13.93faire Quote
EV +65.08%
Vorteil +2.83%
Kelly +2.96%
Wachstum +1.93%

bei einer Höchstquote von 23.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
4.25%7.13%7.28%10.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
9.0013.5813.0023.0011.11%7.36%7.69%4.35%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +65.08%E +2.83%K +2.96%G +1.93%2.4%2026-03-10 01:35
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +50.73%E +2.42%K +2.54%G +1.29%3.8%2026-03-10 01:34
SportsBet1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -7.18%E -7.18%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +50.73%E +2.42%K +2.54%G +1.29%4.8%2026-03-10 01:35
Pinnacle1.03I 97.09%NM 95.31%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%20.92I 4.78%NM 4.69%EV +50.16%E +2.40%K +2.52%G +1.26%1.9%2026-03-10 01:45
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +29.20%E +1.62%K +1.72%G +0.501%4.6%2026-03-10 01:45
DraftKings1.03I 97.09%NM 94.41%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%17.40I 5.75%NM 5.59%EV +24.89%E +1.43%K +1.52%G +0.378%2.8%2026-03-10 01:44
Bovada1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +14.84%E +0.928%K +0.989%G +0.147%5.3%2026-03-10 01:10
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +14.84%E +0.928%K +0.989%G +0.147%5.3%2026-03-10 01:10
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +11.25%E +0.726%K +0.776%G +0.087%4.5%2026-03-10 01:25
LowVig.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +11.25%E +0.726%K +0.776%G +0.087%4.5%2026-03-10 01:45
BetOnline.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +11.25%E +0.726%K +0.776%G +0.087%4.5%2026-03-10 01:44
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.66%E +0.511%K +0.547%G +0.042%3.8%2026-03-10 01:10
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +4.08%E +0.281%K +0.302%G +0.012%4.0%2026-03-10 01:25
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +0.486%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 01:09
Bet Right1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +0.486%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 01:09
GTbets1.02I 98.04%NM 93.06%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%13.67I 7.32%NM 6.94%EV -1.88%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 01:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:10
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:09
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:34
Casumo1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:35
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:34
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:34
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:35
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:34
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:34
Hard Rock Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 01:35
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 01:45
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 01:40
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 01:45
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-10 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 01:09
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 01:10
Unibet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.55%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.45%EV -8.13%E -0.635%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 01:45
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 92.61%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%12.65I 7.91%NM 7.39%EV -9.20%E -0.728%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 01:34
Unibet (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -10.28%E -0.822%K -0.894%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 01:09
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -10.28%E -0.822%K -0.894%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 01:09
Coolbet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.24%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.76%EV -12.07%E -0.986%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 01:45
Codere (IT)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 01:10
William Hill1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 01:09
Winamax (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 01:25
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 01:35
Caesars1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 01:44
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 01:35
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 01:35
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-10 01:34
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 01:24
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 01:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 01:35
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 01:35
PlayUp1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.05%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 01:09
BetMGM1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.05%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 01:45
Fanatics1.02I 98.04%NM 90.57%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.43%EV -29.66%E -3.03%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 01:24
TAB1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.46%E -3.33%K -86.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -35.40%E -3.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 01:40
Tipico (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.40%E -3.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 01:19
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43%0.5%2026-03-10 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43%0.5%2026-03-10 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43%0.5%2026-03-10 01:45
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55%0.7%2026-03-10 01:45
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60%28.99I 3.45%NM 3.40%1.5%2026-03-10 01:45
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 95.29%20.83I 4.80%NM 4.71%1.9%2026-03-10 01:25