Langue:Français
Carlos Alcaraz v Arthur Rinderknech
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Carlos Alcaraz (Local)
Prévision 92.82%1.08cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -3.33%
Kelly -86.62%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.64%92.87%92.72%95.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.001.021.021.04100.00%97.74%97.56%96.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur)
Prévision 7.18%13.93cote équitable
EV +65.08%
Avantage +2.83%
Kelly +2.96%
Croissance +1.93%
avec la cote maximale 23.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.25%7.13%7.28%10.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0013.5813.0023.0011.11%7.36%7.69%4.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Carlos Alcaraz (Local) : 92.82% ; Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur) : 7.18%. Pour Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 13.93. 15 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 23.00, soit une espérance positive de +65.08%.
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.75%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.25%EV +65.08%E +2.83%K +2.96%G +1.93% | 2.4% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +50.73%E +2.42%K +2.54%G +1.29% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -7.18%E -7.18%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +50.73%E +2.42%K +2.54%G +1.29% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.31%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 20.92I 4.78%NM 4.69%EV +50.16%E +2.40%K +2.52%G +1.26% | 1.9% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +29.20%E +1.62%K +1.72%G +0.501% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.41%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 17.40I 5.75%NM 5.59%EV +24.89%E +1.43%K +1.52%G +0.378% | 2.8% | 2026-03-10 01:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +14.84%E +0.928%K +0.989%G +0.147% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 01:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV +14.84%E +0.928%K +0.989%G +0.147% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 01:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +11.25%E +0.726%K +0.776%G +0.087% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 01:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +11.25%E +0.726%K +0.776%G +0.087% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV +11.25%E +0.726%K +0.776%G +0.087% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 01:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +7.66%E +0.511%K +0.547%G +0.042% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 01:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.37%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.63%EV +4.08%E +0.281%K +0.302%G +0.012% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 01:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +0.486%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +0.486%E +0.035%K +0.037%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.06%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 13.67I 7.32%NM 6.94%EV -1.88%E -0.138%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 01:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -6.69%E -0.515%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.55%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 12.80I 7.81%NM 7.45%EV -8.13%E -0.635%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.61%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 12.65I 7.91%NM 7.39%EV -9.20%E -0.728%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -10.28%E -0.822%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -10.28%E -0.822%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.24%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.76%EV -12.07%E -0.986%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 01:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 01:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 01:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -13.87%E -1.16%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 01:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 01:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 01:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -6.25%E -6.19%K -624.94%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -17.46%E -1.52%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 01:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -21.05%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 01:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -21.05%E -1.91%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.57%EV -5.32%E -5.22%K -266.06%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.43%EV -29.66%E -3.03%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 01:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.46%E -3.33%K -86.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -35.40%E -3.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 01:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -4.39%E -4.26%K -146.43%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -35.40%E -3.93%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 01:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.57% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.43% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.45% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.60% | 28.99I 3.45%NM 3.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-10 01:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.29% | 20.83I 4.80%NM 4.71% | 1.9% | 2026-03-10 01:25 |